WAS pull away from NYG 21-6
WAS pulled away from NYG 21-6. WAS generated +11.5 EPA (+0.186 per play) vs NYG's -14.9 EPA (-0.241 per play).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: WAS penalty (Q2, 30:07) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: WAS generated +11.5 EPA (+0.186 per play) vs NYG's -14.9 EPA (-0.241 per play) why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: NYG failed on 12/16 third downs (25% conversion rate) why loser lost
- ▸ Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline
WAS pulled away from NYG 21-6. WAS generated +11.5 EPA (+0.186 per play) vs NYG's -14.9 EPA (-0.241 per play).
⚡ The Turning Point
WAS penalty (Q2, 30:07). WAS's win probability dropped from 93.3% to 83.9% — a 9.4 percentage point swing.
A penalty changed the situation while leading by 11.
🏈 Drive of the Game
WAS 8-play, 89-yard drive (4:02) ending in touchdown (Q1, 11:02). WAS's win probability moved from 53.1% to 69.8% — a 16.7 percentage point shift over 8 plays.
WAS took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.050): (9:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass deep right to 85-N.Brown to NYG 23 for 18 yards (28-C.F.
📈 Game Flow
This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.
The longest sustained momentum belonged to WAS, who gained 17.3 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
✅ Why WAS Won
WAS won 21-6 on the strength of 5 key factors: • WAS generated +11.5 EPA (+0.186 per play) vs NYG's -14.9 EPA (-0.241 per play) • WAS rushing EPA: +10.2 vs NYG: -3.6 • WAS passing EPA: +1.4 vs NYG: -11.4.
❌ What Went Wrong for NYG
NYG lost 6-21. What went wrong: • NYG failed on 12/16 third downs (25% conversion rate) • NYG generated -14.9 EPA (-0.241 per play) • NYG passing attack generated -11.4 EPA.
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: WAS 8-play, 89-yard drive (4:02) ending in touchdown (Q1, 11:02). The moment that decided it: WAS penalty (Q2, 30:07).
Final score: WAS 21-6.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.