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NFL 2025 Season Week 3

SEA rout NO 44-13

SEA dominated NO 44-13. SEA passing EPA: +16.1 vs NO: -0.3.

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: SEA defensive/special teams touchdown (Q1, 52:51) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: SEA passing EPA: +16.1 vs NO: -0.3 why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: NO failed on 10/15 third downs (33% conversion rate) why loser lost
  • ▸
    Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline

SEA dominated NO 44-13. SEA passing EPA: +16.1 vs NO: -0.3.

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

SEA defensive/special teams touchdown (Q1, 52:51). NO's win probability dropped from 21.6% to 13.1% — a 8.4 percentage point swing.

Points off a turnover swung momentum decisively while trailing by one score.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

NO 3-play, 0-yard drive (2:17) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q1, 09:48). NO's win probability moved from 24.5% to 86.9% — a 11.3 percentage point shift over 3 plays.

NO's drive ended in a turnover that was returned for a touchdown by the opponent. Key play (WPA -0.084): (7:51) 32-K.Kroeger punts 61 yards to SEA 5, Center-49-Z.Wood.

15-T.Horton for 95 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.

The longest sustained momentum belonged to SEA, who gained 34.8 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

momentum timeline

✅ Why SEA Won

SEA won 44-13 on the strength of 5 key factors: • SEA passing EPA: +16.1 vs NO: -0.3 • SEA generated +7.5 EPA (+0.141 per play) vs NO's -8.3 EPA (-0.119 per play) • SEA scored on 7/11 drives (64%) vs NO's 4/12 (33%).

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for NO

NO lost 13-44. What went wrong: • NO failed on 10/15 third downs (33% conversion rate) • NO's defense allowed SEA to score on 7/11 drives (64%) • NO went three-and-out 5 times, failing to sustain drives.

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: NO 3-play, 0-yard drive (2:17) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q1, 09:48). The moment that decided it: SEA defensive/special teams touchdown (Q1, 52:51).

Final score: SEA 44-13.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

SEA Play #536 Drive #3 passing advantage epa advantage scoring drive rate third down failures defensive leakage stalled drives

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.