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NFL 2025 Season Week 7

NE pull away from TEN 31-13

NE pulled away from TEN 31-13. NE generated +16.6 EPA (+0.267 per play) vs TEN's -14.5 EPA (-0.284 per play).

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: D.Maye to K.Boutte, 39-yard TD (Q2, 30:55) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: NE generated +16.6 EPA (+0.267 per play) vs TEN's -14.5 EPA (-0.284 per play) why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: TEN failed on 7/10 third downs (30% conversion rate) why loser lost

NE pulled away from TEN 31-13. NE generated +16.6 EPA (+0.267 per play) vs TEN's -14.5 EPA (-0.284 per play).

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

D.Maye to K.Boutte, 39-yard TD (Q2, 30:55). NE's win probability jumped from 49.9% to 62.5% — a 12.7 percentage point swing.

Extended or established the lead while trailing by a field goal.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

NE 3-play, 60-yard drive (0:59) ending in touchdown (Q2, 01:48). NE's win probability moved from 40.0% to 62.9% — a 22.8 percentage point shift over 3 plays.

NE took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.127): (:55) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep middle to 9-K.Boutte for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

A steady contest without dramatic momentum swings. The longest sustained momentum belonged to NE, who lost 28.1 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

momentum timeline

✅ Why NE Won

NE won 31-13 on the strength of 5 key factors: • NE generated +16.6 EPA (+0.267 per play) vs TEN's -14.5 EPA (-0.284 per play) • NE scored on 3/3 red zone trips (100%) vs TEN's 0/0 (0%) • NE passing EPA: +11.5 vs TEN: -11.7.

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for TEN

TEN lost 13-31. What went wrong: • TEN failed on 7/10 third downs (30% conversion rate) • TEN committed 2 turnovers (1 INT, 1 fumble lost) • TEN generated -14.5 EPA (-0.284 per play).

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: NE 3-play, 60-yard drive (0:59) ending in touchdown (Q2, 01:48). The moment that decided it: D.Maye to K.Boutte, 39-yard TD (Q2, 30:55).

Final score: NE 31-13.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

NE Play #1723 Drive #8 epa advantage red zone efficiency passing advantage third down failures turnovers committed offensive inefficiency

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.