LAC defeat LV 20-9
LAC defeated LV 20-9. LAC generated -1.1 EPA (-0.020 per play) vs LV's -25.5 EPA (-0.392 per play). The defining moment: J.Herbert to Q.Johnston, 60-yard TD (Q2, 32:00).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: J.Herbert to Q.Johnston, 60-yard TD (Q2, 32:00) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: LAC generated -1.1 EPA (-0.020 per play) vs LV's -25.5 EPA (-0.392 per play) why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: LV generated -25.5 EPA (-0.392 per play) why loser lost
- ▸ Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline
LAC defeated LV 20-9. LAC generated -1.1 EPA (-0.020 per play) vs LV's -25.5 EPA (-0.392 per play).
The defining moment: J.Herbert to Q.Johnston, 60-yard TD (Q2, 32:00).
⚡ The Turning Point
J.Herbert to Q.Johnston, 60-yard TD (Q2, 32:00). LAC's win probability jumped from 69.0% to 80.7% — a 11.7 percentage point swing.
Extended or established the lead while leading by one score.
🏈 Drive of the Game
LAC 8-play, 72-yard drive (5:14) ending in touchdown (Q1, 05:34). LAC's win probability moved from 50.2% to 68.0% — a 17.9 percentage point shift over 8 plays.
LAC took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.073): (1:54) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert scrambles up the middle to LV 24 for 9 yards (20-I.Pola-Mao).
PENALTY Key play (WPA +0.068): (:28) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 13-K.Allen for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Key play (WPA +0.060): (4:09) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert scrambles right tackle ran ob at LV 35 for 12 yards (45-D.White).
Pena.
📈 Game Flow
This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.
The longest sustained momentum belonged to LAC, who lost 19.6 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
✅ Why LAC Won
LAC won 20-9 on the strength of 3 key factors: • LAC generated -1.1 EPA (-0.020 per play) vs LV's -25.5 EPA (-0.392 per play) • LAC passing EPA: +10.2 vs LV: -23.1 • LAC had a +2 turnover margin (3 forced, 1 committed) vs LV's -2.
❌ What Went Wrong for LV
LV lost 9-20. What went wrong: • LV generated -25.5 EPA (-0.392 per play) • LV committed 3 turnovers (3 INTs, 0 fumbles lost) • LV passing attack generated -23.1 EPA.
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: LAC 8-play, 72-yard drive (5:14) ending in touchdown (Q1, 05:34). The moment that decided it: J.Herbert to Q.Johnston, 60-yard TD (Q2, 32:00).
Final score: LAC 20-9.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.