NFL 2025 Season Week 13

GB hold off DET 31-24

GB held off DET 31-24. GB generated +16.5 EPA (+0.289 per play) vs DET's +2.3 EPA (+0.039 per play). The defining moment: J.Love to D.Wicks, 22-yard TD (Q2, 44:25).

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

⚡
Turning point: J.Love to D.Wicks, 22-yard TD (Q2, 44:25) turning point
✅
Key advantage: GB generated +16.5 EPA (+0.289 per play) vs DET's +2.3 EPA (+0.039 per play) why winner won
❌
Key failure: DET's defense allowed GB to score on 5/9 drives (56%) why loser lost

GB held off DET 31-24. GB generated +16.5 EPA (+0.289 per play) vs DET's +2.3 EPA (+0.039 per play).

The defining moment: J.Love to D.Wicks, 22-yard TD (Q2, 44:25).

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

J.Love to D.Wicks, 22-yard TD (Q2, 44:25). GB's win probability jumped from 57.1% to 71.9% — a 14.8 percentage point swing.

Extended or established the lead while leading by a field goal.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

GB 12-play, 70-yard drive (5:42) ending in touchdown (Q2, 07:54). GB's win probability moved from 56.2% to 75.2% — a 19.0 percentage point shift over 12 plays.

GB extended their lead with a scoring drive. Key play (WPA +0.088): (2:16) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 87-R.Doubs for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Key play (WPA +0.070): (5:55) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep left to 13-D.Wicks to DET 36 for 18 yards (32-B.Branch). Key play (WPA +0.059): (4:31) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 88-L.Musgrave to DET 11 for 23 yards (34-A.Anzalone).

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

A competitive game with 4 significant momentum shifts provided sustained tension. The longest sustained momentum belonged to GB, who lost 20.8 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

momentum timeline

✅ Why GB Won

GB won 31-24 on the strength of 4 key factors: • GB generated +16.5 EPA (+0.289 per play) vs DET's +2.3 EPA (+0.039 per play) • GB rushing EPA: +0.1 vs DET: -6.8 • GB generated 3 sacks and 6 QB hits vs DET's 0 sacks and 2 QB hits.

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for DET

DET lost 24-31. What went wrong: • DET's defense allowed GB to score on 5/9 drives (56%) • DET allowed 3 sacks • DET rushing attack generated -6.8 EPA.

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: GB 12-play, 70-yard drive (5:42) ending in touchdown (Q2, 07:54). The moment that decided it: J.Love to D.Wicks, 22-yard TD (Q2, 44:25).

Final score: GB 31-24.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

GB Play #1023 Drive #7 epa advantage rushing advantage pressure defensive leakage pressure allowed rushing struggles

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.