DET rout CLE 34-10
DET dominated CLE 34-10. DET passing EPA: -1.0 vs CLE: -21.2.
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: J.Flacco intercepted (Q2, 34:36) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: DET passing EPA: -1.0 vs CLE: -21.2 why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: CLE failed on 11/14 third downs (21% conversion rate) why loser lost
- ▸ Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline
DET dominated CLE 34-10. DET passing EPA: -1.0 vs CLE: -21.2.
⚡ The Turning Point
J.Flacco intercepted (Q2, 34:36). CLE's win probability dropped from 41.4% to 23.7% — a 17.7 percentage point swing.
Gave DET the ball and ended CLE's threat while trailing by a field goal.
🏈 Drive of the Game
CLE 13-play, 88-yard drive (7:10) ending in touchdown (Q1, 12:46). CLE's win probability moved from 47.1% to 68.1% — a 20.9 percentage point shift over 13 plays.
CLE took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.079): (5:41) 98-A.Huntington and 56-L.Wypler reported in as eligible.
10-Q.Judkins left tackle for 1 yard, Key play (WPA +0.077): (10:03) 98-A.Huntington reported in as eligible. 15-J.Flacco pass deep left to 3-J.Jeudy to DET 12 f Key play (WPA +0.064): (10:18) (Shotgun) 15-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 16-I.Bond to DET 45 for 16 yards (6-T.Arnold) [98-.
📈 Game Flow
This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.
The longest sustained momentum belonged to DET, who gained 27.9 percentage points of win probability during that stretch. The largest single swing was 17.7 percentage points, caused by a interception.
✅ Why DET Won
DET won 34-10 on the strength of 5 key factors: • DET passing EPA: -1.0 vs CLE: -21.2 • DET had a +2 turnover margin (3 forced, 1 committed) vs CLE's -2 • DET generated -6.9 EPA (-0.128 per play) vs CLE's -23.2 EPA (-0.363 per play).
❌ What Went Wrong for CLE
CLE lost 10-34. What went wrong: • CLE failed on 11/14 third downs (21% conversion rate) • CLE committed 3 turnovers (2 INTs, 1 fumble lost) • CLE generated -23.2 EPA (-0.363 per play).
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: CLE 13-play, 88-yard drive (7:10) ending in touchdown (Q1, 12:46). The moment that decided it: J.Flacco intercepted (Q2, 34:36).
Final score: DET 34-10.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.