Skip to content
Sportami home
NFL 2025 Season Week 15

CHI rout CLE 31-3

CHI dominated CLE 31-3. CHI had a +3 turnover margin (3 forced, 0 committed) vs CLE's -3.

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: CLE run (Q1, 57:14) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: CHI had a +3 turnover margin (3 forced, 0 committed) vs CLE's -3 why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: CLE generated -26.1 EPA (-0.466 per play) why loser lost
  • ▸
    Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline

CHI dominated CLE 31-3. CHI had a +3 turnover margin (3 forced, 0 committed) vs CLE's -3.

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

CLE run (Q1, 57:14). CLE's win probability dropped from 41.6% to 33.5% — a 8.2 percentage point swing.

A rushing gain kept the drive alive while tied game.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

CHI 7-play, 80-yard drive (4:25) ending in touchdown (Q1, 05:54). CHI's win probability moved from 74.2% to 85.2% — a 11.0 percentage point shift over 7 plays.

CHI extended their lead with a scoring drive. Key play (WPA +0.057): (3:50) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass deep middle to 10-L.Burden to CLE 8 for 40 yards (49-C.Schwesing.

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.

The longest sustained momentum belonged to CHI, who gained 34.2 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

momentum timeline

✅ Why CHI Won

CHI won 31-3 on the strength of 5 key factors: • CHI had a +3 turnover margin (3 forced, 0 committed) vs CLE's -3 • CHI generated +3.3 EPA (+0.052 per play) vs CLE's -26.1 EPA (-0.466 per play) • CHI scored on 3/4 red zone trips (75%) vs CLE's 0/1 (0%).

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for CLE

CLE lost 3-31. What went wrong: • CLE generated -26.1 EPA (-0.466 per play) • CLE committed 3 turnovers (3 INTs, 0 fumbles lost) • CLE passing attack generated -22.9 EPA.

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: CHI 7-play, 80-yard drive (4:25) ending in touchdown (Q1, 05:54). The moment that decided it: CLE run (Q1, 57:14).

Final score: CHI 31-3.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

CHI Play #317 Drive #5 turnover margin epa advantage red zone efficiency offensive inefficiency turnovers committed passing struggles

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.