MIN rout WAS 31-0
MIN dominated WAS 31-0. MIN generated +17.6 EPA (+0.309 per play) vs WAS's -21.2 EPA (-0.432 per play).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: WAS pass (Q1, 50:15) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: MIN generated +17.6 EPA (+0.309 per play) vs WAS's -21.2 EPA (-0.432 per play) why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: WAS committed 3 turnovers (2 INTs, 1 fumble lost) why loser lost
- ▸ Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline
MIN dominated WAS 31-0. MIN generated +17.6 EPA (+0.309 per play) vs WAS's -21.2 EPA (-0.432 per play).
⚡ The Turning Point
WAS pass (Q1, 50:15). WAS's win probability jumped from 31.3% to 39.1% — a 7.8 percentage point swing.
A key completion sustained the drive while trailing by one score.
🏈 Drive of the Game
MIN 19-play, 98-yard drive (12:01) ending in touchdown (Q1, 02:42). MIN's win probability moved from 72.5% to 86.1% — a 13.6 percentage point shift over 19 plays.
MIN extended their lead with a scoring drive. Key play (WPA +0.067): (9:59) (Shotgun) 9-J.McCarthy pass deep left to 3-J.Addison to WAS 28 for 21 yards (20-Q.Martin).
Key play (WPA +0.064): (7:50) (Shotgun) 9-J.McCarthy pass short middle to 18-J.Jefferson to WAS 17 for 13 yards (54-B.Wagne Key play (WPA +0.057): (1:24) (Shotgun) 9-J.McCarthy scrambles up the middle to MIN 13 for 7 yards (4-F.Luvu).
📈 Game Flow
This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.
The longest sustained momentum belonged to MIN, who gained 18.2 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
✅ Why MIN Won
MIN won 31-0 on the strength of 5 key factors: • MIN generated +17.6 EPA (+0.309 per play) vs WAS's -21.2 EPA (-0.432 per play) • MIN had a +3 turnover margin (3 forced, 0 committed) vs WAS's -3 • MIN scored on 4/4 red zone trips (100%) vs WAS's 0/2 (0%).
❌ What Went Wrong for WAS
WAS lost 0-31. What went wrong: • WAS committed 3 turnovers (2 INTs, 1 fumble lost) • WAS failed on 7/10 third downs (30% conversion rate) • WAS generated -21.2 EPA (-0.432 per play).
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: MIN 19-play, 98-yard drive (12:01) ending in touchdown (Q1, 02:42). The moment that decided it: WAS pass (Q1, 50:15).
Final score: MIN 31-0.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.