CLE hold off PIT 13-6
CLE held off PIT 13-6. CLE scored on 1/1 red zone trips (100%) vs PIT's 1/2 (50%). The defining moment: S.Sanders intercepted (Q2, 35:03).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: S.Sanders intercepted (Q2, 35:03) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: CLE scored on 1/1 red zone trips (100%) vs PIT's 1/2 (50%) why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: PIT failed on 11/14 third downs (21% conversion rate) why loser lost
CLE held off PIT 13-6. CLE scored on 1/1 red zone trips (100%) vs PIT's 1/2 (50%).
The defining moment: S.Sanders intercepted (Q2, 35:03).
⚡ The Turning Point
S.Sanders intercepted (Q2, 35:03). CLE's win probability dropped from 79.6% to 62.9% — a 16.7 percentage point swing.
Gave PIT the ball and ended CLE's threat while leading by one score.
🏈 Drive of the Game
CLE 6-play, 86-yard drive (3:21) ending in touchdown (Q1, 08:32). CLE's win probability moved from 63.4% to 77.3% — a 14.0 percentage point shift over 6 plays.
CLE extended their lead with a scoring drive. Key play (WPA +0.082): (5:18) (Shotgun) 12-S.Sanders pass deep right to 44-H.Fannin for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
CLE-44-H.Fanni Key play (WPA +0.058): (8:32) (Shotgun) 12-S.Sanders pass deep left to 19-C.Tillman pushed ob at PIT 44 for 42 yards (21-C.
📈 Game Flow
A competitive game with 3 significant momentum shifts provided sustained tension. The longest sustained momentum belonged to CLE, who gained 27.4 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
The largest single swing was 16.7 percentage points, caused by a interception.
✅ Why CLE Won
CLE won 13-6 on the strength of 3 key factors: • CLE scored on 1/1 red zone trips (100%) vs PIT's 1/2 (50%) • CLE converted 4/11 third downs (36%) vs PIT's 3/14 (21%) • CLE passing EPA: -5.5 vs PIT: -12.4.
❌ What Went Wrong for PIT
PIT lost 6-13. What went wrong: • PIT failed on 11/14 third downs (21% conversion rate) • PIT generated -12.9 EPA (-0.204 per play) • PIT passing attack generated -12.4 EPA.
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: CLE 6-play, 86-yard drive (3:21) ending in touchdown (Q1, 08:32). The moment that decided it: S.Sanders intercepted (Q2, 35:03).
Final score: CLE 13-6.
Evidence Sources
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