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PHI outlast LA 33-26 after 1 lead change

PHI held off LA 33-26. PHI scored on 3/3 red zone trips (100%) vs LA's 3/4 (75%). The defining moment: LA touchdown (Q4, 0:03).

Key Takeaways

  • Turning point: LA touchdown (Q4, 0:03) turning point
  • Key advantage: PHI scored on 3/3 red zone trips (100%) vs LA's 3/4 (75%) why winner won
  • Key failure: LA failed on 8/11 third downs (27% conversion rate) why loser lost
  • Game character: volatile contest with 1 lead change momentum timeline

PHI held off LA 33-26. PHI scored on 3/3 red zone trips (100%) vs LA's 3/4 (75%).

The defining moment: LA touchdown (Q4, 0:03).

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

The Turning Point

LA touchdown (Q4, 0:03). LA's win probability dropped from 60.8% to 0.0% — a 60.8 percentage point swing.

Extended or established the lead while trailing by a field goal.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

LA 10-play, 44-yard drive (1:48) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q4, 01:48). LA's win probability moved from 43.6% to 60.8% — a 43.6 percentage point shift over 10 plays.

LA's drive ended in a turnover that was returned for a touchdown by the opponent. Key play (WPA -0.608): (:03) 16-J.Karty 44 yard field goal is BLOCKED (90-J.Davis), Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans, RE Key play (WPA +0.086): (1:06) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 12-P.Nacua to PHI 44 for 12 yards (23- Key play (WPA +0.076): (1:23) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 23-K.Williams right guard to LA 44 for 5 yards (3-N.Smith).

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

This was a volatile contest with 1 lead change and 5 significant momentum swings. The longest sustained momentum belonged to LA, who lost 20.5 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

The largest single swing was 60.8 percentage points, caused by a touchdown.

momentum timeline

Why PHI Won

PHI won 33-26 on the strength of 4 key factors: • PHI scored on 3/3 red zone trips (100%) vs LA's 3/4 (75%) • PHI had 4 explosive plays (20+ yards) vs LA's 2 • PHI converted 5/14 third downs (36%) vs LA's 3/11 (27%).

why winner won

What Went Wrong for LA

LA lost 26-33. What went wrong: • LA failed on 8/11 third downs (27% conversion rate) • LA committed 1 turnover (1 INT, 0 fumbles lost) • LA failed to score on 1 of 4 red zone trips (75% scoring rate).

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: LA 10-play, 44-yard drive (1:48) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q4, 01:48). The moment that decided it: LA touchdown (Q4, 0:03).

Final score: PHI 33-26.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

PHI Play #4358 Drive #22 red zone efficiency explosive plays third down efficiency third down failures turnovers committed red zone failures

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.