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NFL 2025 Season Week 7

PHI hold off MIN 28-22

PHI held off MIN 28-22. PHI passing EPA: +18.9 vs MIN: -2.3. The defining moment: C.Wentz intercepted (Q2, 43:35).

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: C.Wentz intercepted (Q2, 43:35) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: PHI passing EPA: +18.9 vs MIN: -2.3 why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: MIN committed 2 turnovers (2 INTs, 0 fumbles lost) why loser lost

PHI held off MIN 28-22. PHI passing EPA: +18.9 vs MIN: -2.3.

The defining moment: C.Wentz intercepted (Q2, 43:35).

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

C.Wentz intercepted (Q2, 43:35). MIN's win probability dropped from 44.3% to 24.9% — a 19.4 percentage point swing.

Gave PHI the ball and ended MIN's threat while trailing by one score.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

MIN 4-play, 0-yard drive (2:05) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q1, 00:31). MIN's win probability moved from 43.3% to 75.3% — a 18.3 percentage point shift over 4 plays.

MIN's drive ended in a turnover that was returned for a touchdown by the opponent. Key play (WPA -0.194): (13:35) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short middle intended for 18-J.Jefferson INTERCEPTED by 58-J.Hunt .

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

A competitive game with 5 significant momentum shifts provided sustained tension. The longest sustained momentum belonged to PHI, who lost 19.5 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

The largest single swing was 19.4 percentage points, caused by a interception.

momentum timeline

✅ Why PHI Won

PHI won 28-22 on the strength of 3 key factors: • PHI passing EPA: +18.9 vs MIN: -2.3 • PHI had a +2 turnover margin (2 forced, 0 committed) vs MIN's -2 • PHI generated +13.6 EPA (+0.283 per play) vs MIN's -6.0 EPA (-0.089 per play).

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for MIN

MIN lost 22-28. What went wrong: • MIN committed 2 turnovers (2 INTs, 0 fumbles lost) • MIN forced only 0 turnovers while PHI forced 2 • MIN generated -6.0 EPA (-0.089 per play).

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: MIN 4-play, 0-yard drive (2:05) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q1, 00:31). The moment that decided it: C.Wentz intercepted (Q2, 43:35).

Final score: PHI 28-22.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

PHI Play #949 Drive #4 passing advantage turnover margin epa advantage turnovers committed failed to force turnovers offensive inefficiency

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.