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NFL 2025 Season Week 13

LAC pull away from LV 31-14

LAC pulled away from LV 31-14. LAC generated +9.0 EPA (+0.138 per play) vs LV's -14.9 EPA (-0.332 per play).

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: K.Vidal 59-yard rushing TD (Q3, 29:13) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: LAC generated +9.0 EPA (+0.138 per play) vs LV's -14.9 EPA (-0.332 per play) why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: LV failed on 6/8 third downs (25% conversion rate) why loser lost
  • ▸
    Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline

LAC pulled away from LV 31-14. LAC generated +9.0 EPA (+0.138 per play) vs LV's -14.9 EPA (-0.332 per play).

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

K.Vidal 59-yard rushing TD (Q3, 29:13). LAC's win probability jumped from 56.2% to 74.7% — a 18.5 percentage point swing.

Changed the scoreboard and shifted control while tied game.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

LV 9-play, 82-yard drive (4:42) ending in touchdown (Q2, 06:32). LV's win probability moved from 23.5% to 43.7% — a 20.2 percentage point shift over 9 plays.

LV tied the game after trailing. Key play (WPA +0.088): (1:54) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 89-B.Bowers for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Key play (WPA +0.054): (2:40) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 89-B.Bowers pushed ob at LAC 5 for 24 yards (20-C.Hart.

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.

The longest sustained momentum belonged to LAC, who gained 40.4 percentage points of win probability during that stretch. The largest single swing was 18.5 percentage points, caused by a touchdown.

momentum timeline

✅ Why LAC Won

LAC won 31-14 on the strength of 5 key factors: • LAC generated +9.0 EPA (+0.138 per play) vs LV's -14.9 EPA (-0.332 per play) • LAC converted 12/17 third downs (71%) vs LV's 2/8 (25%) • LAC rushing EPA: +0.8 vs LV: -12.8.

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for LV

LV lost 14-31. What went wrong: • LV failed on 6/8 third downs (25% conversion rate) • LV rushing attack generated -12.8 EPA • LV generated -14.9 EPA (-0.332 per play).

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: LV 9-play, 82-yard drive (4:42) ending in touchdown (Q2, 06:32). The moment that decided it: K.Vidal 59-yard rushing TD (Q3, 29:13).

Final score: LAC 31-14.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

LAC Play #1985 Drive #7 epa advantage third down efficiency rushing advantage third down failures rushing struggles offensive inefficiency

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.