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NFL 2025 Season Week 11

JAX rout LAC 35-6

JAX dominated LAC 35-6. JAX generated +5.5 EPA (+0.080 per play) vs LAC's -23.0 EPA (-0.511 per play).

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: T.Lawrence intercepted (Q2, 42:54) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: JAX generated +5.5 EPA (+0.080 per play) vs LAC's -23.0 EPA (-0.511 per play) why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: LAC failed on 9/12 third downs (25% conversion rate) why loser lost
  • ▸
    Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline

JAX dominated LAC 35-6. JAX generated +5.5 EPA (+0.080 per play) vs LAC's -23.0 EPA (-0.511 per play).

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

T.Lawrence intercepted (Q2, 42:54). JAX's win probability dropped from 74.3% to 62.4% — a 11.9 percentage point swing.

Gave LAC the ball and ended JAX's threat while leading by one score.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

JAX 6-play, 74-yard drive (3:31) ending in touchdown (Q1, 03:31). JAX's win probability moved from 51.1% to 69.4% — a 18.3 percentage point shift over 6 plays.

JAX took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.065): (:55) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete deep right to 11-P.Washington.

PENALTY on LAC-29-T.Still, Defens.

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.

The longest sustained momentum belonged to JAX, who gained 14.3 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

momentum timeline

✅ Why JAX Won

JAX won 35-6 on the strength of 5 key factors: • JAX generated +5.5 EPA (+0.080 per play) vs LAC's -23.0 EPA (-0.511 per play) • JAX passing EPA: +2.4 vs LAC: -21.7 • JAX converted 5/10 third downs (50%) vs LAC's 3/12 (25%).

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for LAC

LAC lost 6-35. What went wrong: • LAC failed on 9/12 third downs (25% conversion rate) • LAC generated -23.0 EPA (-0.511 per play) • LAC passing attack generated -21.7 EPA.

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: JAX 6-play, 74-yard drive (3:31) ending in touchdown (Q1, 03:31). The moment that decided it: T.Lawrence intercepted (Q2, 42:54).

Final score: JAX 35-6.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

JAX Play #1001 Drive #4 epa advantage passing advantage third down efficiency third down failures offensive inefficiency passing struggles

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.