LA rout ARI 45-17
LA dominated ARI 45-17. LA generated +28.1 EPA (+0.439 per play) vs ARI's -3.8 EPA (-0.062 per play).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: P.Nacua 32-yard gain (Q1, 48:37) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: LA generated +28.1 EPA (+0.439 per play) vs ARI's -3.8 EPA (-0.062 per play) why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: ARI failed on 8/12 third downs (33% conversion rate) why loser lost
- ▸ Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline
LA dominated ARI 45-17. LA generated +28.1 EPA (+0.439 per play) vs ARI's -3.8 EPA (-0.062 per play).
⚡ The Turning Point
P.Nacua 32-yard gain (Q1, 48:37). LA's win probability jumped from 41.5% to 50.9% — a 9.4 percentage point swing.
A -yard gain moved the chains and shifted field position while trailing by one score.
🏈 Drive of the Game
LA 10-play, 65-yard drive (5:47) ending in touchdown (Q2, 08:34). LA's win probability moved from 49.3% to 70.2% — a 20.9 percentage point shift over 10 plays.
LA took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.062): (6:09) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 17-D.Adams pushed ob at ARI 37 for 6 yards (0-W.Joh Key play (WPA +0.054): (2:50) 23-K.Williams up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
📈 Game Flow
This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.
The longest sustained momentum belonged to LA, who lost 26.6 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
✅ Why LA Won
LA won 45-17 on the strength of 5 key factors: • LA generated +28.1 EPA (+0.439 per play) vs ARI's -3.8 EPA (-0.062 per play) • LA passing EPA: +15.4 vs ARI: -3.3 • LA rushing EPA: +12.7 vs ARI: -0.5.
❌ What Went Wrong for ARI
ARI lost 17-45. What went wrong: • ARI failed on 8/12 third downs (33% conversion rate) • ARI's defense allowed LA to score on 7/11 drives (64%) • ARI went three-and-out 4 times, failing to sustain drives.
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: LA 10-play, 65-yard drive (5:47) ending in touchdown (Q2, 08:34). The moment that decided it: P.Nacua 32-yard gain (Q1, 48:37).
Final score: LA 45-17.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.