LA hold off DET 41-34
LA held off DET 41-34. LA rushing EPA: +5.4 vs DET: -3.1. The defining moment: M.Stafford intercepted (Q1, 53:24).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: M.Stafford intercepted (Q1, 53:24) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: LA rushing EPA: +5.4 vs DET: -3.1 why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: DET failed on 9/14 third downs (36% conversion rate) why loser lost
LA held off DET 41-34. LA rushing EPA: +5.4 vs DET: -3.1.
The defining moment: M.Stafford intercepted (Q1, 53:24).
⚡ The Turning Point
M.Stafford intercepted (Q1, 53:24). LA's win probability dropped from 70.5% to 44.0% — a 26.6 percentage point swing.
Gave DET the ball and ended LA's threat while tied game.
🏈 Drive of the Game
LA 9-play, 88-yard drive (4:13) ending in touchdown (Q3, 06:39). LA's win probability moved from 34.7% to 64.1% — a 29.3 percentage point shift over 9 plays.
LA took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.112): (3:15) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 17-D.Adams to DET 26 for 21 yards (2-D.Thomas).
Key play (WPA +0.102): (2:32) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 84-C.Parkinson for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Key play (WPA +0.054): (4:37) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 17-D.Adams to LA 47 for 15 yards (29-A.Maddox).
📈 Game Flow
A competitive game with 5 significant momentum shifts provided sustained tension. The longest sustained momentum belonged to LA, who gained 32.0 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
The largest single swing was 26.6 percentage points, caused by a interception.
✅ Why LA Won
LA won 41-34 on the strength of 4 key factors: • LA rushing EPA: +5.4 vs DET: -3.1 • LA had 8 explosive plays (20+ yards) vs DET's 6 • DET had 3 three-and-outs vs LA's 1.
❌ What Went Wrong for DET
DET lost 34-41. What went wrong: • DET failed on 9/14 third downs (36% conversion rate) • DET's defense allowed LA to score on 7/11 drives (64%).
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: LA 9-play, 88-yard drive (4:13) ending in touchdown (Q3, 06:39). The moment that decided it: M.Stafford intercepted (Q1, 53:24).
Final score: LA 41-34.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.