KC rout WAS 28-7
KC dominated WAS 28-7. KC generated +16.6 EPA (+0.251 per play) vs WAS's -9.4 EPA (-0.181 per play).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: M.Mariota intercepted (Q1, 54:49) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: KC generated +16.6 EPA (+0.251 per play) vs WAS's -9.4 EPA (-0.181 per play) why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: WAS committed 2 turnovers (2 INTs, 0 fumbles lost) why loser lost
KC dominated WAS 28-7. KC generated +16.6 EPA (+0.251 per play) vs WAS's -9.4 EPA (-0.181 per play).
⚡ The Turning Point
M.Mariota intercepted (Q1, 54:49). WAS's win probability dropped from 56.0% to 37.3% — a 18.7 percentage point swing.
Gave KC the ball and ended WAS's threat while tied game.
🏈 Drive of the Game
WAS 10-play, 66-yard drive (4:48) ending in touchdown (Q2, 05:46). WAS's win probability moved from 23.8% to 40.6% — a 16.8 percentage point shift over 10 plays.
WAS tied the game after trailing. Key play (WPA +0.095): (1:04) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass incomplete short right to 17-T.McLaurin.
The Replay Off Key play (WPA +0.063): (3:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short left to 26-J.McNichols pushed ob at KC 21 for 18 .
📈 Game Flow
A back-and-forth battle with 3 lead changes kept both teams in contention throughout. The longest sustained momentum belonged to KC, who gained 30.0 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
The largest single swing was 18.7 percentage points, caused by a interception.
✅ Why KC Won
KC won 28-7 on the strength of 5 key factors: • KC generated +16.6 EPA (+0.251 per play) vs WAS's -9.4 EPA (-0.181 per play) • KC passing EPA: +13.7 vs WAS: -7.4 • KC scored on 4/4 red zone trips (100%) vs WAS's 1/2 (50%).
❌ What Went Wrong for WAS
WAS lost 7-28. What went wrong: • WAS committed 2 turnovers (2 INTs, 0 fumbles lost) • WAS generated -9.4 EPA (-0.181 per play) • WAS failed to score on 1 of 2 red zone trips (50% scoring rate).
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: WAS 10-play, 66-yard drive (4:48) ending in touchdown (Q2, 05:46). The moment that decided it: M.Mariota intercepted (Q1, 54:49).
Final score: KC 28-7.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.