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NFL 2025 Season Week 7

CHI force turnovers, defeat NO 26-14

CHI defeated NO 26-14. CHI had a +3 turnover margin (4 forced, 1 committed) vs NO's -3. The defining moment: S.Rattler fumble lost (Q1, 58:01).

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: S.Rattler fumble lost (Q1, 58:01) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: CHI had a +3 turnover margin (4 forced, 1 committed) vs NO's -3 why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: NO committed 4 turnovers (3 INTs, 1 fumble lost) why loser lost

CHI defeated NO 26-14. CHI had a +3 turnover margin (4 forced, 1 committed) vs NO's -3.

The defining moment: S.Rattler fumble lost (Q1, 58:01).

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

S.Rattler fumble lost (Q1, 58:01). NO's win probability dropped from 49.3% to 34.8% — a 14.5 percentage point swing.

Turnover gave CHI possession while tied game.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

NO 10-play, 80-yard drive (5:20) ending in touchdown (Q3, 15:00). NO's win probability moved from 11.8% to 23.6% — a 11.9 percentage point shift over 10 plays.

NO cut into the deficit with this scoring drive. Key play (WPA +0.082): (9:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-S.Rattler pass short left to 12-C.Olave for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

A steady contest without dramatic momentum swings. The longest sustained momentum belonged to CHI, who gained 20.5 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

momentum timeline

✅ Why CHI Won

CHI won 26-14 on the strength of 5 key factors: • CHI had a +3 turnover margin (4 forced, 1 committed) vs NO's -3 • CHI generated +6.1 EPA (+0.094 per play) vs NO's -15.7 EPA (-0.297 per play) • CHI passing EPA: +2.1 vs NO: -12.2.

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for NO

NO lost 14-26. What went wrong: • NO committed 4 turnovers (3 INTs, 1 fumble lost) • NO failed on 7/10 third downs (30% conversion rate) • NO generated -15.7 EPA (-0.297 per play).

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: NO 10-play, 80-yard drive (5:20) ending in touchdown (Q3, 15:00). The moment that decided it: S.Rattler fumble lost (Q1, 58:01).

Final score: CHI 26-14.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

CHI Play #193 Drive #16 turnover margin epa advantage passing advantage turnovers committed third down failures offensive inefficiency

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.