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NFL 2025 Season Week 14

MIA rout NYJ 34-10

MIA dominated NYJ 34-10. MIA generated +12.6 EPA (+0.207 per play) vs NYJ's -25.8 EPA (-0.453 per play).

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: D.Achane 39-yard gain (Q1, 58:42) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: MIA generated +12.6 EPA (+0.207 per play) vs NYJ's -25.8 EPA (-0.453 per play) why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: NYJ failed on 11/12 third downs (8% conversion rate) why loser lost
  • ▸
    Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline

MIA dominated NYJ 34-10. MIA generated +12.6 EPA (+0.207 per play) vs NYJ's -25.8 EPA (-0.453 per play).

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

D.Achane 39-yard gain (Q1, 58:42). MIA's win probability jumped from 48.0% to 61.0% — a 13.0 percentage point swing.

A -yard gain moved the chains and shifted field position while tied game.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

MIA 4-play, 69-yard drive (2:14) ending in touchdown (Q1, 15:00). MIA's win probability moved from 43.3% to 60.8% — a 17.4 percentage point shift over 4 plays.

MIA took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.130): (13:42) 28-D.Achane left guard to NYJ 3 for 39 yards (51-F.Mauigoa).

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.

The longest sustained momentum belonged to MIA, who lost 43.0 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

momentum timeline

✅ Why MIA Won

MIA won 34-10 on the strength of 5 key factors: • MIA generated +12.6 EPA (+0.207 per play) vs NYJ's -25.8 EPA (-0.453 per play) • MIA had a +3 turnover margin (3 forced, 0 committed) vs NYJ's -3 • MIA passing EPA: +1.7 vs NYJ: -24.1.

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for NYJ

NYJ lost 10-34. What went wrong: • NYJ failed on 11/12 third downs (8% conversion rate) • NYJ generated -25.8 EPA (-0.453 per play) • NYJ passing attack generated -24.1 EPA.

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: MIA 4-play, 69-yard drive (2:14) ending in touchdown (Q1, 15:00). The moment that decided it: D.Achane 39-yard gain (Q1, 58:42).

Final score: MIA 34-10.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

MIA Play #135 Drive #1 epa advantage turnover margin passing advantage third down failures offensive inefficiency passing struggles

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.