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NFL 2025 Season Week 7

CLE rout MIA 31-6

CLE dominated MIA 31-6. CLE had a +3 turnover margin (3 forced, 0 committed) vs MIA's -3.

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: Q.Judkins 46-yard rushing TD (Q2, 41:28) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: CLE had a +3 turnover margin (3 forced, 0 committed) vs MIA's -3 why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: MIA generated -31.8 EPA (-0.558 per play) why loser lost

CLE dominated MIA 31-6. CLE had a +3 turnover margin (3 forced, 0 committed) vs MIA's -3.

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

Q.Judkins 46-yard rushing TD (Q2, 41:28). CLE's win probability jumped from 57.7% to 70.2% — a 12.5 percentage point swing.

Extended or established the lead while tied game.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

MIA 1-play, 0-yard drive (0:12) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q3, 15:00). MIA's win probability moved from 16.1% to 92.5% — a 8.6 percentage point shift over 1 plays.

MIA's drive ended in a turnover that was returned for a touchdown by the opponent. Key play (WPA -0.086): (14:56) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left intended for 28-D.Achane INTERCEPTED by 7-T.Campbel.

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

A steady contest without dramatic momentum swings. The longest sustained momentum belonged to CLE, who gained 26.2 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

momentum timeline

✅ Why CLE Won

CLE won 31-6 on the strength of 5 key factors: • CLE had a +3 turnover margin (3 forced, 0 committed) vs MIA's -3 • CLE generated -4.1 EPA (-0.079 per play) vs MIA's -31.8 EPA (-0.558 per play) • CLE passing EPA: +0.8 vs MIA: -26.5.

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for MIA

MIA lost 6-31. What went wrong: • MIA generated -31.8 EPA (-0.558 per play) • MIA failed on 12/13 third downs (8% conversion rate) • MIA passing attack generated -26.5 EPA.

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: MIA 1-play, 0-yard drive (0:12) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q3, 15:00). The moment that decided it: Q.Judkins 46-yard rushing TD (Q2, 41:28).

Final score: CLE 31-6.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

CLE Play #1076 Drive #10 turnover margin epa advantage passing advantage offensive inefficiency third down failures passing struggles

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.