DEN hold off LV 24-17
DEN held off LV 24-17. DEN scored on 3/3 red zone trips (100%) vs LV's 1/2 (50%). The defining moment: DEN defensive/special teams touchdown (Q2, 36:44).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: DEN defensive/special teams touchdown (Q2, 36:44) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: DEN scored on 3/3 red zone trips (100%) vs LV's 1/2 (50%) why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: LV failed on 6/9 third downs (33% conversion rate) why loser lost
- ▸ Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline
DEN held off LV 24-17. DEN scored on 3/3 red zone trips (100%) vs LV's 1/2 (50%).
The defining moment: DEN defensive/special teams touchdown (Q2, 36:44).
⚡ The Turning Point
DEN defensive/special teams touchdown (Q2, 36:44). LV's win probability dropped from 48.9% to 36.3% — a 12.6 percentage point swing.
Points off a turnover swung momentum decisively while tied game.
🏈 Drive of the Game
LV 4-play, 0-yard drive (3:34) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q2, 10:03). LV's win probability moved from 57.2% to 63.8% — a 20.8 percentage point shift over 4 plays.
LV's drive ended in a turnover that was returned for a touchdown by the opponent. Key play (WPA -0.126): (6:44) 6-A.Cole punts 42 yards to LV 48, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer.
19-M.Mims for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Key play (WPA -0.062): (8:39) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith sacked at LV 8 for -8 yards (97-M.Roach).
Key play (WPA -0.060): (7:24) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith sacked at LV 6 for -7 yards (98-J.Franklin-Myers).
📈 Game Flow
This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.
The longest sustained momentum belonged to DEN, who lost 19.6 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
✅ Why DEN Won
DEN won 24-17 on the strength of 5 key factors: • DEN scored on 3/3 red zone trips (100%) vs LV's 1/2 (50%) • DEN generated +11.2 EPA (+0.155 per play) vs LV's -2.5 EPA (-0.054 per play) • DEN converted 7/12 third downs (58%) vs LV's 3/9 (33%).
❌ What Went Wrong for LV
LV lost 17-24. What went wrong: • LV failed on 6/9 third downs (33% conversion rate) • LV allowed 4 sacks • LV failed to score on 1 of 2 red zone trips (50% scoring rate).
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: LV 4-play, 0-yard drive (3:34) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q2, 10:03). The moment that decided it: DEN defensive/special teams touchdown (Q2, 36:44).
Final score: DEN 24-17.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.