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NFL 2025 Season Week 13

NYJ win 27-24 on late field goal over ATL

NYJ edged ATL 27-24. NYJ converted 7/16 third downs (44%) vs ATL's 4/12 (33%). The defining moment: NYJ 56-yard field goal (Q4, 0:05).

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: NYJ 56-yard field goal (Q4, 0:05) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: NYJ converted 7/16 third downs (44%) vs ATL's 4/12 (33%) why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: ATL failed on 8/12 third downs (33% conversion rate) why loser lost

NYJ edged ATL 27-24. NYJ converted 7/16 third downs (44%) vs ATL's 4/12 (33%).

The defining moment: NYJ 56-yard field goal (Q4, 0:05).

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

NYJ 56-yard field goal (Q4, 0:05). NYJ's win probability jumped from 70.8% to 100.0% — a 29.2 percentage point swing.

Points on the board while tied late.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

ATL 8-play, 74-yard drive (4:37) ending in touchdown (Q4, 13:23). ATL's win probability moved from 47.5% to 81.4% — a 33.8 percentage point shift over 8 plays.

ATL took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.220): (8:52) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 87-D.Sills for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Key play (WPA +0.072): (10:13) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 25-T.Allgeier pushed ob at NYJ 9 for 31 yards (21-B.Stephen Key play (WPA +0.063): (10:50) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 8-K.Pitts pushed ob at NYJ 40 for 11 yards (27-M.Moore).

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

A back-and-forth battle with 6 lead changes kept both teams in contention throughout. The longest sustained momentum belonged to NYJ, who gained 39.8 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

The largest single swing was 29.2 percentage points, caused by a field goal.

momentum timeline

✅ Why NYJ Won

NYJ won 27-24 on the strength of 1 key factor: • NYJ converted 7/16 third downs (44%) vs ATL's 4/12 (33%).

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for ATL

ATL lost 24-27. What went wrong: • ATL failed on 8/12 third downs (33% conversion rate).

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: ATL 8-play, 74-yard drive (4:37) ending in touchdown (Q4, 13:23). The moment that decided it: NYJ 56-yard field goal (Q4, 0:05).

Final score: NYJ 27-24.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

NYJ Play #4564 Drive #19 third down efficiency third down failures

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.