MIA survive WAS challenge, win 16-13
MIA edged WAS 16-13. MIA had a +1 turnover margin (1 forced, 0 committed) vs WAS's -1. The defining moment: WAS 56-yard field goal missed (Q4, 0:15).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: WAS 56-yard field goal missed (Q4, 0:15) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: MIA had a +1 turnover margin (1 forced, 0 committed) vs WAS's -1 why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: WAS committed 1 turnover (1 INT, 0 fumbles lost) why loser lost
MIA edged WAS 16-13. MIA had a +1 turnover margin (1 forced, 0 committed) vs WAS's -1.
The defining moment: WAS 56-yard field goal missed (Q4, 0:15).
⚡ The Turning Point
WAS 56-yard field goal missed (Q4, 0:15). WAS's win probability dropped from 63.5% to 34.4% — a 29.1 percentage point swing.
Squandered a scoring opportunity while tied late.
🏈 Drive of the Game
WAS 6-play, 59-yard drive (3:36) ending in touchdown (Q3, 15:00). WAS's win probability moved from 46.6% to 70.7% — a 24.1 percentage point shift over 6 plays.
WAS took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.103): (11:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short right to 1-D.Samuel for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Key play (WPA +0.054): (12:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 74-B.Coleman reported in as eligible. 36-C.Rodriguez up the middle to M Key play (WPA +0.052): (14:08) (No Huddle) 74-B.Coleman reported in as eligible.
36-C.Rodriguez right end to MIA 41 for 12 .
📈 Game Flow
A competitive game with 5 significant momentum shifts provided sustained tension. The longest sustained momentum belonged to MIA, who gained 41.9 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
The largest single swing was 29.1 percentage points, caused by a missed field goal.
✅ Why MIA Won
MIA won 16-13 on the strength of 1 key factor: • MIA had a +1 turnover margin (1 forced, 0 committed) vs WAS's -1.
❌ What Went Wrong for WAS
WAS lost 13-16. What went wrong: • WAS committed 1 turnover (1 INT, 0 fumbles lost) • WAS failed to score on 1 of 3 red zone trips (67% scoring rate).
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: WAS 6-play, 59-yard drive (3:36) ending in touchdown (Q3, 15:00). The moment that decided it: WAS 56-yard field goal missed (Q4, 0:15).
Final score: MIA 16-13.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.