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NFL 2025 Season Week 15
SF defeat TEN 37-24

SF defeat TEN 37-24

SF defeated TEN 37-24. SF passing EPA: +17.9 vs TEN: +1.7. The defining moment: C.Ward to G.Helm, 34-yard TD (Q2, 37:52).

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: C.Ward to G.Helm, 34-yard TD (Q2, 37:52) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: SF passing EPA: +17.9 vs TEN: +1.7 why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: TEN failed on 6/9 third downs (33% conversion rate) why loser lost
  • ▸
    Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline

SF defeated TEN 37-24. SF passing EPA: +17.9 vs TEN: +1.7.

The defining moment: C.Ward to G.Helm, 34-yard TD (Q2, 37:52).

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

C.Ward to G.Helm, 34-yard TD (Q2, 37:52). TEN's win probability jumped from 18.4% to 26.0% — a 7.6 percentage point swing.

Extended or established the lead while trailing by 11.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

SF 12-play, 70-yard drive (6:03) ending in touchdown (Q1, 13:51). SF's win probability moved from 62.1% to 75.4% — a 13.3 percentage point shift over 12 plays.

SF took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.052): (12:55) (No Huddle) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 85-G.Kittle to TEN 30 for 23 yards (37-A.Hooker).

Key play (WPA +0.051): (7:54) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 15-J.Jennings for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.

The longest sustained momentum belonged to SF, who gained 22.1 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

momentum timeline

✅ Why SF Won

SF won 37-24 on the strength of 5 key factors: • SF passing EPA: +17.9 vs TEN: +1.7 • SF scored on 7/8 drives (88%) vs TEN's 4/9 (44%) • SF converted 9/15 third downs (60%) vs TEN's 3/9 (33%).

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for TEN

TEN lost 24-37. What went wrong: • TEN failed on 6/9 third downs (33% conversion rate) • TEN's defense allowed SF to score on 7/8 drives (88%).

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: SF 12-play, 70-yard drive (6:03) ending in touchdown (Q1, 13:51). The moment that decided it: C.Ward to G.Helm, 34-yard TD (Q2, 37:52).

Final score: SF 37-24.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

SF Play #1367 Drive #2 passing advantage scoring drive rate third down efficiency third down failures defensive leakage

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.