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NFL 2025 Season Week 7

KC rout LV 31-0

KC dominated LV 31-0. KC generated +16.6 EPA (+0.225 per play) vs LV's -20.1 EPA (-0.669 per play).

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: T.Kelce 44-yard gain (Q1, 54:31) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: KC generated +16.6 EPA (+0.225 per play) vs LV's -20.1 EPA (-0.669 per play) why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: LV generated -20.1 EPA (-0.669 per play) why loser lost
  • ▸
    Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline

KC dominated LV 31-0. KC generated +16.6 EPA (+0.225 per play) vs LV's -20.1 EPA (-0.669 per play).

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

T.Kelce 44-yard gain (Q1, 54:31). KC's win probability jumped from 60.0% to 68.3% — a 8.4 percentage point swing.

A -yard gain moved the chains and shifted field position while tied game.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

KC 9-play, 92-yard drive (5:46) ending in touchdown (Q1, 11:44). KC's win probability moved from 59.8% to 75.4% — a 15.6 percentage point shift over 9 plays.

KC took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.084): (9:31) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 87-T.Kelce pushed ob at LV 40 for 44 yards (52-E.Ro.

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.

The longest sustained momentum belonged to KC, who gained 21.7 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

momentum timeline

✅ Why KC Won

KC won 31-0 on the strength of 5 key factors: • KC generated +16.6 EPA (+0.225 per play) vs LV's -20.1 EPA (-0.669 per play) • KC converted 9/14 third downs (64%) vs LV's 0/7 (0%) • KC scored on 4/5 red zone trips (80%) vs LV's 0/0 (0%).

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for LV

LV lost 0-31. What went wrong: • LV generated -20.1 EPA (-0.669 per play) • LV's defense allowed KC to score on 5/9 drives (56%) • LV rushing attack generated -9.6 EPA.

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: KC 9-play, 92-yard drive (5:46) ending in touchdown (Q1, 11:44). The moment that decided it: T.Kelce 44-yard gain (Q1, 54:31).

Final score: KC 31-0.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

KC Play #358 Drive #2 epa advantage third down efficiency red zone efficiency offensive inefficiency defensive leakage rushing struggles

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.