SEA outlast LA 38-37 in back-and-forth battle
SEA edged LA 38-37. SEA rushing EPA: +9.3 vs LA: -4.7. The defining moment: SEA pass (OT, 3:13).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: SEA pass (OT, 3:13) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: SEA rushing EPA: +9.3 vs LA: -4.7 why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: LA failed on 12/20 third downs (40% conversion rate) why loser lost
- ▸ Game character: volatile contest with 6 lead changes momentum timeline
SEA edged LA 38-37. SEA rushing EPA: +9.3 vs LA: -4.7.
The defining moment: SEA pass (OT, 3:13).
⚡ The Turning Point
SEA pass (OT, 3:13). SEA's win probability jumped from 46.8% to 100.0% — a 53.2 percentage point swing.
A key completion sustained the drive while trailing by a field goal.
🏈 Drive of the Game
SEA 9-play, 65-yard drive (3:14) ending in touchdown (OT, 06:27). SEA's win probability moved from 49.3% to 46.8% — a 50.7 percentage point shift over 9 plays.
SEA tied the game after trailing. Key play (WPA +0.532): TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT.
14-S.Darnold pass to 81-E.Saubert is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
Key play (WPA -0.438): (3:17) 14-S.Darnold pass short middle to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Key play (WPA +0.223): (4:29) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 10-C.Kupp ran ob at LA 16 for 21 yards.
📈 Game Flow
This was a volatile contest with 6 lead changes and 5 significant momentum swings. The longest sustained momentum belonged to LA, who lost 43.8 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
The largest single swing was 53.2 percentage points, caused by a play sequence.
✅ Why SEA Won
SEA won 38-37 on the strength of 1 key factor: • SEA rushing EPA: +9.3 vs LA: -4.7.
❌ What Went Wrong for LA
LA lost 37-38. What went wrong: • LA failed on 12/20 third downs (40% conversion rate).
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: SEA 9-play, 65-yard drive (3:14) ending in touchdown (OT, 06:27). The moment that decided it: SEA pass (OT, 3:13).
Final score: SEA 38-37.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.