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NFL 2025 Season Week 11

PHI hold off DET 16-9

PHI held off DET 16-9. PHI scored on 3/3 red zone trips (100%) vs DET's 0/1 (0%). The defining moment: J.Goff intercepted (Q1, 56:18).

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: J.Goff intercepted (Q1, 56:18) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: PHI scored on 3/3 red zone trips (100%) vs DET's 0/1 (0%) why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: DET failed on 10/13 third downs (23% conversion rate) why loser lost

PHI held off DET 16-9. PHI scored on 3/3 red zone trips (100%) vs DET's 0/1 (0%).

The defining moment: J.Goff intercepted (Q1, 56:18).

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

J.Goff intercepted (Q1, 56:18). DET's win probability dropped from 49.4% to 32.6% — a 16.8 percentage point swing.

Gave PHI the ball and ended DET's threat while tied game.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

PHI 10-play, 64-yard drive (4:49) ending in touchdown (Q2, 05:05). PHI's win probability moved from 53.1% to 72.0% — a 18.9 percentage point shift over 10 plays.

PHI took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.072): (2:21) (Shotgun) 37-T.Bigsby right end to DET 23 for 17 yards (12-T.Harper).

Key play (WPA +0.061): (3:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short right to 2-J.Dotson ran ob at DET 37 for 9 yards (2.

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

A steady contest without dramatic momentum swings. The longest sustained momentum belonged to PHI, who gained 16.4 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

The largest single swing was 16.8 percentage points, caused by a interception.

momentum timeline

✅ Why PHI Won

PHI won 16-9 on the strength of 5 key factors: • PHI scored on 3/3 red zone trips (100%) vs DET's 0/1 (0%) • PHI had a +1 turnover margin (1 forced, 0 committed) vs DET's -1 • PHI generated -15.6 EPA (-0.229 per play) vs DET's -23.6 EPA (-0.401 per play).

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for DET

DET lost 9-16. What went wrong: • DET failed on 10/13 third downs (23% conversion rate) • DET generated -23.6 EPA (-0.401 per play) • DET passing attack generated -14.3 EPA.

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: PHI 10-play, 64-yard drive (4:49) ending in touchdown (Q2, 05:05). The moment that decided it: J.Goff intercepted (Q1, 56:18).

Final score: PHI 16-9.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

PHI Play #341 Drive #13 red zone efficiency turnover margin epa advantage third down failures offensive inefficiency passing struggles

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.