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Iraq v Norway: World Cup 2026 – live

· 2 min read

Why the Underdog Has a Chance

Iraq enters the World Cup 2026 with a solid record over the last four years, boasting 26 wins, 9 draws, and only 11 losses [F012]. This strong form, combined with their FIFA ranking of #57, suggests they possess the tactical tools to challenge Norway, who sits at #31 [F010]. Key players like Jalal Hassan and Mohanad Ali can exploit Norway's defensive weaknesses, especially if they can capitalize on set pieces or counter-attacks. The tactical discipline shown by Iraq in recent matches could allow them to disrupt Norway's rhythm, creating opportunities for an upset.

Where the Favorite Is Vulnerable

Norway's historical performance in World Cups has been inconsistent, with only three appearances and a record that includes two wins and three draws out of eight matches [F007]. Despite having a standout player like Erling Haaland, who is crucial to their attacking strategy [F004], Norway has shown vulnerabilities in their defense. Their FIFA ranking indicates they may struggle against teams that can press effectively and exploit gaps in their backline. This match presents an opportunity for Iraq to take advantage of these weaknesses, particularly if they can maintain a solid defensive shape and transition quickly into attack.

The Player Who Could Decide It

Erling Haaland is undoubtedly the key player for Norway, capable of turning the tide of the match with his goal-scoring prowess [F004]. His ability to find space and convert chances will be critical against Iraq's defense. However, Iraq's Jalal Hassan also has the potential to be a game-changer. His experience and leadership on the field could galvanize the team and provide the necessary spark to exploit any defensive lapses from Norway. The duel between these two players could very well determine the outcome of the match, making it essential for both teams to focus on their respective star players.

What an Upset Would Mean

If Iraq manages to pull off an upset against Norway, it would significantly shake up Group I dynamics, potentially altering the trajectory of the tournament for both teams [F015]. For Iraq, a victory would not only boost their confidence but also enhance their standing in the FIFA rankings, which could have long-term benefits for their footballing reputation. Conversely, a loss for Norway could put them under pressure in subsequent matches, particularly against stronger teams like France, who they will face shortly after [F016]. The implications of this match extend beyond just points; they could redefine expectations for both nations in the World Cup.

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