Being the best in Asia is no longer enough for Japan seeking World Cup breakthrough | Jonathan Wilson

Japan's recent performance trajectory has been impressive, with a record of 27 wins, 5 draws, and only 5 losses over the past four years. This consistent success has positioned them as a formidable force in Asian football, showcasing their ability to compete at high levels. Their goal-scoring prowess, coupled with a solid defensive record, reflects a well-rounded team capable of challenging stronger opponents. As they approach the FIFA World Cup 2026, this sustained excellence suggests that Japan is peaking at the right moment, which is crucial for their ambitions on the world stage.

Japan's tactical evolution under manager Hajime Moriyasu has been pivotal in their recent success. The team's ultra-aggressive pressing style matches the best European teams, allowing them to regain possession quickly and create scoring opportunities. Their formation, a 4-2-3-1, facilitates rapid short passing through the central corridor, enhancing their attacking fluidity. Key players like Takefusa Kubo, Ritsu Doan, and Daichi Kamada have thrived in this system, contributing significantly to both goals and assists. However, vulnerabilities remain, particularly in physical matchups and aerial situations, which could be exploited by more robust teams.

While Japan's current form is impressive, questions arise regarding its sustainability over the course of the World Cup. The team's energy output, characterized by their rapid pressing and recovery tactics, may struggle to hold up across seven matches. Additionally, their vulnerabilities in physical confrontations and set pieces could be detrimental against stronger opponents. As they prepare for the tournament, Japan must find a balance between maintaining their high-intensity style and ensuring they can endure the rigors of a prolonged competition. This aspect will be crucial in determining their success in the World Cup.

Japan's upcoming match against the Netherlands on June 14, 2026, will serve as a critical test of their capabilities. This fixture will not only gauge their readiness but also provide insights into how their tactical approach holds up against a historically strong team. The combination of Japan's pressing intensity and rapid passing will be put to the test, especially considering their vulnerabilities. As they aim for a breakthrough in World Cup history, Japan must leverage their strengths while addressing their weaknesses to navigate the challenges ahead successfully.