WAS hold off PHI 24-17
WAS held off PHI 24-17. WAS passing EPA: +4.1 vs PHI: -6.2. The defining moment: J.Johnson fumble lost (Q3, 25:57).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: J.Johnson fumble lost (Q3, 25:57) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: WAS passing EPA: +4.1 vs PHI: -6.2 why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: PHI failed on 8/14 third downs (43% conversion rate) why loser lost
WAS held off PHI 24-17. WAS passing EPA: +4.1 vs PHI: -6.2.
The defining moment: J.Johnson fumble lost (Q3, 25:57).
⚡ The Turning Point
J.Johnson fumble lost (Q3, 25:57). WAS's win probability dropped from 62.4% to 43.8% — a 18.6 percentage point swing.
Turnover gave PHI possession while leading by a field goal.
🏈 Drive of the Game
WAS 9-play, 77-yard drive (6:05) ending in touchdown (Q4, 08:37). WAS's win probability moved from 44.2% to 84.5% — a 40.3 percentage point shift over 9 plays.
WAS took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.146): (2:37) 73-T.Scott reported in as eligible.
14-J.Johnson scrambles left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Key play (WPA +0.086): (8:37) (Shotgun) 14-J.Johnson pass incomplete deep left to 17-T.McLaurin.
PENALTY on PHI-7-K.Ringo, Key play (WPA +0.084): (7:04) (Shotgun) 14-J.Johnson pass short right to 36-C.Rodriguez to PHI 14 for 18 yards (30-J.Campbe.
📈 Game Flow
A back-and-forth battle with 5 lead changes kept both teams in contention throughout. The longest sustained momentum belonged to WAS, who lost 40.4 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
The largest single swing was 18.6 percentage points, caused by a fumble.
✅ Why WAS Won
WAS won 24-17 on the strength of 5 key factors: • WAS passing EPA: +4.1 vs PHI: -6.2 • WAS generated 3 sacks and 6 QB hits vs PHI's 0 sacks and 4 QB hits • WAS converted 6/11 third downs (55%) vs PHI's 6/14 (43%).
❌ What Went Wrong for PHI
PHI lost 17-24. What went wrong: • PHI failed on 8/14 third downs (43% conversion rate) • PHI allowed 3 sacks • PHI committed 1 turnover (1 INT, 0 fumbles lost).
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: WAS 9-play, 77-yard drive (6:05) ending in touchdown (Q4, 08:37). The moment that decided it: J.Johnson fumble lost (Q3, 25:57).
Final score: WAS 24-17.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.