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LV force turnovers, defeat TEN 20-10

LV defeated TEN 20-10. LV had a +2 turnover margin (3 forced, 1 committed) vs TEN's -2. The defining moment: C.Ward fumble lost (Q2, 36:12).

Key Takeaways

  • Turning point: C.Ward fumble lost (Q2, 36:12) turning point
  • Key advantage: LV had a +2 turnover margin (3 forced, 1 committed) vs TEN's -2 why winner won
  • Key failure: TEN failed on 10/13 third downs (23% conversion rate) why loser lost
  • Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline

LV defeated TEN 20-10. LV had a +2 turnover margin (3 forced, 1 committed) vs TEN's -2.

The defining moment: C.Ward fumble lost (Q2, 36:12).

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

The Turning Point

C.Ward fumble lost (Q2, 36:12). TEN's win probability dropped from 29.3% to 18.3% — a 11.0 percentage point swing.

Turnover gave LV possession while trailing by a field goal.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

LV 13-play, 70-yard drive (7:56) ending in touchdown (Q3, 15:00). LV's win probability moved from 85.3% to 94.3% — a 9.0 percentage point shift over 13 plays.

LV extended their lead with a scoring drive.

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.

The longest sustained momentum belonged to LV, who gained 17.4 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

momentum timeline

Why LV Won

LV won 20-10 on the strength of 5 key factors: • LV had a +2 turnover margin (3 forced, 1 committed) vs TEN's -2 • LV passing EPA: +0.6 vs TEN: -14.6 • LV converted 6/13 third downs (46%) vs TEN's 3/13 (23%).

why winner won

What Went Wrong for TEN

TEN lost 10-20. What went wrong: • TEN failed on 10/13 third downs (23% conversion rate) • TEN committed 3 turnovers (1 INT, 2 fumbles lost) • TEN generated -17.8 EPA (-0.308 per play).

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: LV 13-play, 70-yard drive (7:56) ending in touchdown (Q3, 15:00). The moment that decided it: C.Ward fumble lost (Q2, 36:12).

Final score: LV 20-10.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

LV Play #1337 Drive #13 turnover margin passing advantage third down efficiency third down failures turnovers committed offensive inefficiency

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.