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NFL 2025 Season Week 18
JAX rout TEN 41-7

JAX rout TEN 41-7

JAX dominated TEN 41-7. JAX generated +12.0 EPA (+0.219 per play) vs TEN's -18.5 EPA (-0.348 per play).

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: B.Allen intercepted (Q2, 38:20) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: JAX generated +12.0 EPA (+0.219 per play) vs TEN's -18.5 EPA (-0.348 per play) why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: TEN failed on 11/15 third downs (27% conversion rate) why loser lost

JAX dominated TEN 41-7. JAX generated +12.0 EPA (+0.219 per play) vs TEN's -18.5 EPA (-0.348 per play).

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

B.Allen intercepted (Q2, 38:20). TEN's win probability dropped from 28.3% to 13.4% — a 14.9 percentage point swing.

Gave JAX the ball and ended TEN's threat while trailing by one score.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

TEN 6-play, 0-yard drive (3:40) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q2, 11:47). TEN's win probability moved from 29.6% to 86.6% — a 16.3 percentage point shift over 6 plays.

TEN's drive ended in a turnover that was returned for a touchdown by the opponent. Key play (WPA -0.149): (8:20) (Shotgun) 10-B.Allen pass short middle intended for 5-E.Ayomanor INTERCEPTED by 26-An.Johnson Key play (WPA +0.051): (10:24) (Shotgun) 10-B.Allen pass deep right to 17-C.Dike pushed ob at JAX 37 for 21 yards (22-J.Jon.

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

A steady contest without dramatic momentum swings. The longest sustained momentum belonged to JAX, who gained 25.1 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

momentum timeline

✅ Why JAX Won

JAX won 41-7 on the strength of 5 key factors: • JAX generated +12.0 EPA (+0.219 per play) vs TEN's -18.5 EPA (-0.348 per play) • JAX passing EPA: +13.6 vs TEN: -19.6 • JAX scored on 6/10 drives (60%) vs TEN's 2/10 (20%).

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for TEN

TEN lost 7-41. What went wrong: • TEN failed on 11/15 third downs (27% conversion rate) • TEN passing attack generated -19.6 EPA • TEN generated -18.5 EPA (-0.348 per play).

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: TEN 6-play, 0-yard drive (3:40) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q2, 11:47). The moment that decided it: B.Allen intercepted (Q2, 38:20).

Final score: JAX 41-7.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

JAX Play #1420 Drive #8 epa advantage passing advantage scoring drive rate third down failures passing struggles offensive inefficiency

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.