PHI defeat WAS 29-18
PHI defeated WAS 29-18. PHI generated +18.8 EPA (+0.290 per play) vs WAS's -6.4 EPA (-0.125 per play). The defining moment: J.Hurts to D.Goedert, 15-yard TD (Q3, 18:33).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: J.Hurts to D.Goedert, 15-yard TD (Q3, 18:33) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: PHI generated +18.8 EPA (+0.290 per play) vs WAS's -6.4 EPA (-0.125 per play) why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: WAS failed on 8/10 third downs (20% conversion rate) why loser lost
PHI defeated WAS 29-18. PHI generated +18.8 EPA (+0.290 per play) vs WAS's -6.4 EPA (-0.125 per play).
The defining moment: J.Hurts to D.Goedert, 15-yard TD (Q3, 18:33).
⚡ The Turning Point
J.Hurts to D.Goedert, 15-yard TD (Q3, 18:33). PHI's win probability jumped from 44.2% to 62.9% — a 18.7 percentage point swing.
Changed the scoreboard and shifted control while trailing by a field goal.
🏈 Drive of the Game
PHI 17-play, 83-yard drive (10:35) ending in touchdown (Q3, 14:02). PHI's win probability moved from 36.1% to 63.4% — a 27.3 percentage point shift over 17 plays.
PHI took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.187): (3:33) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short right to 88-D.Goedert for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Key play (WPA +0.121): (5:38) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass incomplete deep right to 6-D.Smith. PENALTY on WAS-6-N.Igbinoghene, Key play (WPA +0.098): (8:54) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass incomplete deep left to 11-A.Brown (20-Q.Martin).
PENALTY on WAS-3-W.
📈 Game Flow
A competitive game with 5 significant momentum shifts provided sustained tension. The longest sustained momentum belonged to WAS, who gained 33.7 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
The largest single swing was 18.7 percentage points, caused by a touchdown.
✅ Why PHI Won
PHI won 29-18 on the strength of 5 key factors: • PHI generated +18.8 EPA (+0.290 per play) vs WAS's -6.4 EPA (-0.125 per play) • PHI passing EPA: +7.5 vs WAS: -8.0 • PHI rushing EPA: +11.3 vs WAS: +1.6.
❌ What Went Wrong for WAS
WAS lost 18-29. What went wrong: • WAS failed on 8/10 third downs (20% conversion rate) • WAS committed 1 turnover (1 INT, 0 fumbles lost) • WAS passing attack generated -8.0 EPA.
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: PHI 17-play, 83-yard drive (10:35) ending in touchdown (Q3, 14:02). The moment that decided it: J.Hurts to D.Goedert, 15-yard TD (Q3, 18:33).
Final score: PHI 29-18.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.