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NFL 2025 Season Week 3

WAS pull away from LV 41-24

WAS pulled away from LV 41-24. WAS rushing EPA: +4.0 vs LV: -9.4.

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: J.McNichols 60-yard rushing TD (Q2, 33:42) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: WAS rushing EPA: +4.0 vs LV: -9.4 why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: LV failed on 11/14 third downs (21% conversion rate) why loser lost

WAS pulled away from LV 41-24. WAS rushing EPA: +4.0 vs LV: -9.4.

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

J.McNichols 60-yard rushing TD (Q2, 33:42). WAS's win probability jumped from 54.5% to 70.8% — a 16.4 percentage point swing.

Changed the scoreboard and shifted control while tied game.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

LV 3-play, 0-yard drive (1:18) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q3, 10:53). LV's win probability moved from 18.4% to 93.7% — a 12.0 percentage point shift over 3 plays.

LV's drive ended in a turnover that was returned for a touchdown by the opponent. Key play (WPA -0.061): (9:54) 6-A.Cole punts 56 yards to WAS 10, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer.

83-J.Lane for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

A steady contest without dramatic momentum swings. The longest sustained momentum belonged to WAS, who gained 26.7 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

The largest single swing was 16.4 percentage points, caused by a touchdown.

momentum timeline

✅ Why WAS Won

WAS won 41-24 on the strength of 5 key factors: • WAS rushing EPA: +4.0 vs LV: -9.4 • WAS converted 5/10 third downs (50%) vs LV's 3/14 (21%) • WAS generated +14.8 EPA (+0.280 per play) vs LV's +2.9 EPA (+0.045 per play).

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for LV

LV lost 24-41. What went wrong: • LV failed on 11/14 third downs (21% conversion rate) • LV allowed 5 sacks • LV's defense allowed WAS to score on 6/11 drives (55%).

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: LV 3-play, 0-yard drive (1:18) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q3, 10:53). The moment that decided it: J.McNichols 60-yard rushing TD (Q2, 33:42).

Final score: WAS 41-24.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

WAS Play #1709 Drive #14 rushing advantage third down efficiency epa advantage third down failures pressure allowed defensive leakage

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.