CHI hold off GB 31-27
CHI held off GB 31-27. CHI scored on 6/10 drives (60%) vs GB's 4/11 (36%). The defining moment: GB pass (Q4, 0:07).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: GB pass (Q4, 0:07) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: CHI scored on 6/10 drives (60%) vs GB's 4/11 (36%) why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: GB failed on 9/15 third downs (40% conversion rate) why loser lost
CHI held off GB 31-27. CHI scored on 6/10 drives (60%) vs GB's 4/11 (36%).
The defining moment: GB pass (Q4, 0:07).
⚡ The Turning Point
GB pass (Q4, 0:07). GB's win probability dropped from 27.6% to 0.0% — a 27.6 percentage point swing.
A key completion sustained the drive while trailing by one score.
🏈 Drive of the Game
CHI 6-play, 66-yard drive (1:08) ending in touchdown (Q4, 02:51). CHI's win probability moved from 38.9% to 75.5% — a 36.6 percentage point shift over 6 plays.
CHI took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.185): (1:48) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass deep left to 2-D.Moore for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Key play (WPA +0.155): (1:54) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass short right to 4-D.Swift ran ob at GB 25 for 23 yards (29-X.McKi Key play (WPA +0.082): (2:43) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass short middle to 84-C.Loveland to CHI 46 for 12 yards (29-X.McKin.
📈 Game Flow
A competitive game with 5 significant momentum shifts provided sustained tension. The longest sustained momentum belonged to CHI, who gained 47.6 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
The largest single swing was 27.6 percentage points, caused by a play sequence.
✅ Why CHI Won
CHI won 31-27 on the strength of 4 key factors: • CHI scored on 6/10 drives (60%) vs GB's 4/11 (36%) • CHI had 9 explosive plays (20+ yards) vs GB's 7 • CHI converted 10/19 third downs (53%) vs GB's 6/15 (40%).
❌ What Went Wrong for GB
GB lost 27-31. What went wrong: • GB failed on 9/15 third downs (40% conversion rate) • GB's defense allowed CHI to score on 6/10 drives (60%).
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: CHI 6-play, 66-yard drive (1:08) ending in touchdown (Q4, 02:51). The moment that decided it: GB pass (Q4, 0:07).
Final score: CHI 31-27.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.