GB pull away from DET 27-13
GB pulled away from DET 27-13. GB generated +9.2 EPA (+0.200 per play) vs DET's -4.0 EPA (-0.062 per play). The defining moment: GB pass (Q1, 56:15).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: GB pass (Q1, 56:15) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: GB generated +9.2 EPA (+0.200 per play) vs DET's -4.0 EPA (-0.062 per play) why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: DET failed on 10/15 third downs (33% conversion rate) why loser lost
- ▸ Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline
GB pulled away from DET 27-13. GB generated +9.2 EPA (+0.200 per play) vs DET's -4.0 EPA (-0.062 per play).
The defining moment: GB pass (Q1, 56:15).
⚡ The Turning Point
GB pass (Q1, 56:15). GB's win probability jumped from 54.2% to 63.2% — a 9.0 percentage point swing.
A key completion sustained the drive while tied game.
🏈 Drive of the Game
GB 12-play, 83-yard drive (5:34) ending in touchdown (Q1, 15:00). GB's win probability moved from 54.6% to 69.9% — a 15.3 percentage point shift over 12 plays.
GB took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.090): (11:15) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 0-M.Golden pushed ob at DET 31 for 11 yards (31-K.Jos Key play (WPA +0.077): (9:31) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 85-T.Kraft for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Key play (WPA +0.066): (13:07) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 13-D.Wicks to DET 46 for 16 yards (6-T.Arnold).
📈 Game Flow
This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.
The longest sustained momentum belonged to GB, who gained 22.1 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
✅ Why GB Won
GB won 27-13 on the strength of 5 key factors: • GB generated +9.2 EPA (+0.200 per play) vs DET's -4.0 EPA (-0.062 per play) • GB generated 4 sacks and 8 QB hits vs DET's 0 sacks and 2 QB hits • GB had a +1 turnover margin (1 forced, 0 committed) vs DET's -1.
❌ What Went Wrong for DET
DET lost 13-27. What went wrong: • DET failed on 10/15 third downs (33% conversion rate) • DET's defense allowed GB to score on 5/9 drives (56%) • DET allowed 4 sacks.
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: GB 12-play, 83-yard drive (5:34) ending in touchdown (Q1, 15:00). The moment that decided it: GB pass (Q1, 56:15).
Final score: GB 27-13.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.