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NFL 2025 Season Week 8

NE pull away from CLE 32-13

NE pulled away from CLE 32-13. NE passing EPA: +6.4 vs CLE: -19.8.

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: D.Maye intercepted (Q2, 43:12) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: NE passing EPA: +6.4 vs CLE: -19.8 why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: CLE failed on 9/11 third downs (18% conversion rate) why loser lost
  • ▸
    Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline

NE pulled away from CLE 32-13. NE passing EPA: +6.4 vs CLE: -19.8.

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

D.Maye intercepted (Q2, 43:12). NE's win probability dropped from 36.4% to 26.5% — a 10.0 percentage point swing.

Gave CLE the ball and ended NE's threat while trailing by one score.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

CLE 6-play, 70-yard drive (3:35) ending in touchdown (Q1, 08:45). CLE's win probability moved from 40.8% to 60.4% — a 19.7 percentage point shift over 6 plays.

CLE took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.101): (7:19) (Shotgun) 8-D.Gabriel pass short left to 44-H.Fannin to CLE 48 for 19 yards (15-M.Mapu; 31-C.

Key play (WPA +0.095): (5:52) 83-M.Corley left end pushed ob at NE 18 for 31 yards (25-M.Jones). Key play (WPA +0.054): (5:15) 74-T.Jenkins reported in as eligible.

8-D.Gabriel pass short right to 44-H.Fannin for 18 yard.

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.

The longest sustained momentum belonged to NE, who gained 40.6 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

momentum timeline

✅ Why NE Won

NE won 32-13 on the strength of 5 key factors: • NE passing EPA: +6.4 vs CLE: -19.8 • NE generated +4.5 EPA (+0.073 per play) vs CLE's -18.5 EPA (-0.349 per play) • NE had 7 explosive plays (20+ yards) vs CLE's 3.

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for CLE

CLE lost 13-32. What went wrong: • CLE failed on 9/11 third downs (18% conversion rate) • CLE passing attack generated -19.8 EPA • CLE generated -18.5 EPA (-0.349 per play).

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: CLE 6-play, 70-yard drive (3:35) ending in touchdown (Q1, 08:45). The moment that decided it: D.Maye intercepted (Q2, 43:12).

Final score: NE 32-13.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

NE Play #947 Drive #2 passing advantage epa advantage explosive plays third down failures passing struggles offensive inefficiency

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.