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NFL 2025 Season Week 8
IND rout TEN 38-14

IND rout TEN 38-14

IND dominated TEN 38-14. IND generated +19.8 EPA (+0.381 per play) vs TEN's -5.8 EPA (-0.087 per play).

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: D.Jones to M.Pittman, 21-yard TD (Q2, 37:51) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: IND generated +19.8 EPA (+0.381 per play) vs TEN's -5.8 EPA (-0.087 per play) why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: TEN failed on 9/15 third downs (40% conversion rate) why loser lost
  • ▸
    Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline

IND dominated TEN 38-14. IND generated +19.8 EPA (+0.381 per play) vs TEN's -5.8 EPA (-0.087 per play).

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

D.Jones to M.Pittman, 21-yard TD (Q2, 37:51). IND's win probability jumped from 70.9% to 79.3% — a 8.5 percentage point swing.

Extended or established the lead while leading by a field goal.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

TEN 6-play, 69-yard drive (3:55) ending in touchdown (Q1, 00:09). TEN's win probability moved from 22.6% to 36.2% — a 13.6 percentage point shift over 6 plays.

TEN cut into the deficit with this scoring drive. Key play (WPA +0.082): (12:05) (Shotgun) 2-T.Spears right end pushed ob at IND 1 for 41 yards (0-C.Bynum).

Key play (WPA +0.051): (11:19) 72-O.Udoh reported in as eligible. 1-C.Ward pass short right to 84-G.Helm for 1 yard, TOUCHD.

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.

The longest sustained momentum belonged to IND, who gained 21.7 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

momentum timeline

✅ Why IND Won

IND won 38-14 on the strength of 5 key factors: • IND generated +19.8 EPA (+0.381 per play) vs TEN's -5.8 EPA (-0.087 per play) • IND passing EPA: +11.7 vs TEN: -8.4 • IND scored on 6/11 drives (55%) vs TEN's 2/11 (18%).

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for TEN

TEN lost 14-38. What went wrong: • TEN failed on 9/15 third downs (40% conversion rate) • TEN's defense allowed IND to score on 6/11 drives (55%) • TEN allowed 4 sacks.

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: TEN 6-play, 69-yard drive (3:55) ending in touchdown (Q1, 00:09). The moment that decided it: D.Jones to M.Pittman, 21-yard TD (Q2, 37:51).

Final score: IND 38-14.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

IND Play #1193 Drive #4 epa advantage passing advantage scoring drive rate third down failures defensive leakage pressure allowed

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.