SEA pull away from PIT 31-17
SEA pulled away from PIT 31-17. SEA generated +4.8 EPA (+0.074 per play) vs PIT's -11.9 EPA (-0.199 per play). The defining moment: PIT touchdown (Q4, 12:46).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: PIT touchdown (Q4, 12:46) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: SEA generated +4.8 EPA (+0.074 per play) vs PIT's -11.9 EPA (-0.199 per play) why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: PIT failed on 10/15 third downs (33% conversion rate) why loser lost
SEA pulled away from PIT 31-17. SEA generated +4.8 EPA (+0.074 per play) vs PIT's -11.9 EPA (-0.199 per play).
The defining moment: PIT touchdown (Q4, 12:46).
⚡ The Turning Point
PIT touchdown (Q4, 12:46). PIT's win probability dropped from 41.0% to 16.6% — a 24.4 percentage point swing.
Extended or established the lead while trailing by a field goal.
🏈 Drive of the Game
PIT 0-play, 0-yard drive (0:00) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q4, 12:46). PIT's win probability moved from 41.0% to 83.4% — a 24.4 percentage point shift over 0 plays.
PIT's drive ended in a turnover that was returned for a touchdown by the opponent. Key play (WPA -0.244): 5-J.Myers kicks 65 yards from SEA 35 to PIT 0.
RECOVERED by SEA-36-G.Holani, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Up.
📈 Game Flow
A competitive game with 5 significant momentum shifts provided sustained tension. The longest sustained momentum belonged to SEA, who lost 53.4 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
The largest single swing was 24.4 percentage points, caused by a touchdown.
✅ Why SEA Won
SEA won 31-17 on the strength of 5 key factors: • SEA generated +4.8 EPA (+0.074 per play) vs PIT's -11.9 EPA (-0.199 per play) • SEA passing EPA: +2.9 vs PIT: -7.8 • SEA rushing EPA: +1.9 vs PIT: -4.1.
❌ What Went Wrong for PIT
PIT lost 17-31. What went wrong: • PIT failed on 10/15 third downs (33% conversion rate) • PIT committed 2 turnovers (2 INTs, 0 fumbles lost) • PIT generated -11.9 EPA (-0.199 per play).
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: PIT 0-play, 0-yard drive (0:00) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q4, 12:46). The moment that decided it: PIT touchdown (Q4, 12:46).
Final score: SEA 31-17.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.