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SEA force turnovers, overwhelm NE 29-13

SEA pulled away from NE 29-13. SEA had a +3 turnover margin (3 forced, 0 committed) vs NE's -3.

Key Takeaways

  • Turning point: K.Walker 30-yard gain (Q2, 44:04) turning point
  • Key advantage: SEA had a +3 turnover margin (3 forced, 0 committed) vs NE's -3 why winner won
  • Key failure: NE committed 3 turnovers (2 INTs, 1 fumble lost) why loser lost
  • Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline

SEA pulled away from NE 29-13. SEA had a +3 turnover margin (3 forced, 0 committed) vs NE's -3.

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

The Turning Point

K.Walker 30-yard gain (Q2, 44:04). SEA's win probability jumped from 53.4% to 61.1% — a 7.7 percentage point swing.

A -yard gain moved the chains and shifted field position while leading by a field goal.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

NE 4-play, 0-yard drive (1:08) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q4, 05:35). NE's win probability moved from 2.5% to 100.0% — a 2.5 percentage point shift over 4 plays.

NE's drive ended in a turnover that was returned for a touchdown by the opponent.

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.

The longest sustained momentum belonged to SEA, who lost 26.9 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

momentum timeline

Why SEA Won

SEA won 29-13 on the strength of 5 key factors: • SEA had a +3 turnover margin (3 forced, 0 committed) vs NE's -3 • SEA passing EPA: +0.4 vs NE: -21.5 • SEA generated -3.5 EPA (-0.050 per play) vs NE's -20.7 EPA (-0.309 per play).

why winner won

What Went Wrong for NE

NE lost 13-29. What went wrong: • NE committed 3 turnovers (2 INTs, 1 fumble lost) • NE passing attack generated -21.5 EPA • NE generated -20.7 EPA (-0.309 per play).

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: NE 4-play, 0-yard drive (1:08) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q4, 05:35). The moment that decided it: K.Walker 30-yard gain (Q2, 44:04).

Final score: SEA 29-13.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

SEA Play #1015 Drive #25 turnover margin passing advantage epa advantage turnovers committed passing struggles offensive inefficiency

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.