CIN rally past PIT 33-31 with clutch touchdown
CIN edged PIT 33-31. CIN had a +2 turnover margin (2 forced, 0 committed) vs PIT's -2. The defining moment: A.Rodgers to P.Freiermuth, 68-yard TD (Q4, 2:31).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: A.Rodgers to P.Freiermuth, 68-yard TD (Q4, 2:31) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: CIN had a +2 turnover margin (2 forced, 0 committed) vs PIT's -2 why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: PIT's defense allowed CIN to score on 7/10 drives (70%) why loser lost
- ▸ Game character: volatile contest with 3 lead changes momentum timeline
CIN edged PIT 33-31. CIN had a +2 turnover margin (2 forced, 0 committed) vs PIT's -2.
The defining moment: A.Rodgers to P.Freiermuth, 68-yard TD (Q4, 2:31).
⚡ The Turning Point
A.Rodgers to P.Freiermuth, 68-yard TD (Q4, 2:31). PIT's win probability jumped from 14.5% to 47.8% — a 33.3 percentage point swing.
Changed the scoreboard and shifted control while trailing by one score.
🏈 Drive of the Game
CIN 8-play, 52-yard drive (2:14) ending in field goal (Q4, 02:21). CIN's win probability moved from 51.5% to 60.5% — a 50.4 percentage point shift over 8 plays.
CIN added points with a field goal. Key play (WPA +0.224): (:11) 2-E.McPherson 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.
Key play (WPA +0.143): (1:47) (Shotgun) 16-J.Flacco pass deep left to 5-T.Higgins to PIT 7 for 28 yards (25-D.Elliott). Key play (WPA +0.093): (2:00) (Shotgun) 16-J.Flacco pass short right to 1-J.Chase pushed ob at PIT 37 for 18 yards (25-D.El.
📈 Game Flow
This was a volatile contest with 3 lead changes and 5 significant momentum swings. The longest sustained momentum belonged to CIN, who gained 47.1 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
The largest single swing was 33.3 percentage points, caused by a touchdown.
✅ Why CIN Won
CIN won 33-31 on the strength of 4 key factors: • CIN had a +2 turnover margin (2 forced, 0 committed) vs PIT's -2 • CIN had 6 explosive plays (20+ yards) vs PIT's 4 • CIN scored on 7/10 drives (70%) vs PIT's 5/10 (50%).
❌ What Went Wrong for PIT
PIT lost 31-33. What went wrong: • PIT's defense allowed CIN to score on 7/10 drives (70%) • PIT committed 2 turnovers (2 INTs, 0 fumbles lost) • PIT forced only 0 turnovers while CIN forced 2.
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: CIN 8-play, 52-yard drive (2:14) ending in field goal (Q4, 02:21). The moment that decided it: A.Rodgers to P.Freiermuth, 68-yard TD (Q4, 2:31).
Final score: CIN 33-31.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.