NO rout NYJ 29-6
NO dominated NYJ 29-6. NO passing EPA: +8.8 vs NYJ: -21.3.
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: T.Shough sacked (Q2, 45:00) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: NO passing EPA: +8.8 vs NYJ: -21.3 why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: NYJ failed on 13/15 third downs (13% conversion rate) why loser lost
- ▸ Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline
NO dominated NYJ 29-6. NO passing EPA: +8.8 vs NYJ: -21.3.
⚡ The Turning Point
T.Shough sacked (Q2, 45:00). NO's win probability dropped from 62.7% to 52.6% — a 10.1 percentage point swing.
Disrupted the drive while tied game.
🏈 Drive of the Game
NO 12-play, 93-yard drive (5:20) ending in touchdown (Q3, 06:01). NO's win probability moved from 68.4% to 85.5% — a 17.1 percentage point shift over 12 plays.
NO extended their lead with a scoring drive. Key play (WPA +0.075): (:47) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass deep right to 12-C.Olave for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
📈 Game Flow
This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.
The longest sustained momentum belonged to NO, who gained 23.7 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
✅ Why NO Won
NO won 29-6 on the strength of 5 key factors: • NO passing EPA: +8.8 vs NYJ: -21.3 • NO generated -0.5 EPA (-0.006 per play) vs NYJ's -22.5 EPA (-0.356 per play) • NO converted 8/17 third downs (47%) vs NYJ's 2/15 (13%).
❌ What Went Wrong for NYJ
NYJ lost 6-29. What went wrong: • NYJ failed on 13/15 third downs (13% conversion rate) • NYJ generated -22.5 EPA (-0.356 per play) • NYJ allowed 8 sacks.
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: NO 12-play, 93-yard drive (5:20) ending in touchdown (Q3, 06:01). The moment that decided it: T.Shough sacked (Q2, 45:00).
Final score: NO 29-6.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.