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LAC rout MIN 37-10

LAC dominated MIN 37-10. LAC generated +14.3 EPA (+0.204 per play) vs MIN's -19.9 EPA (-0.424 per play).

Key Takeaways

  • Turning point: J.Herbert to O.Gadsden, 8-yard TD (Q1, 49:05) turning point
  • Key advantage: LAC generated +14.3 EPA (+0.204 per play) vs MIN's -19.9 EPA (-0.424 per play) why winner won
  • Key failure: MIN failed on 8/11 third downs (27% conversion rate) why loser lost
  • Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline

LAC dominated MIN 37-10. LAC generated +14.3 EPA (+0.204 per play) vs MIN's -19.9 EPA (-0.424 per play).

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

The Turning Point

J.Herbert to O.Gadsden, 8-yard TD (Q1, 49:05). LAC's win probability jumped from 69.2% to 75.3% — a 6.1 percentage point swing.

Extended or established the lead while tied game.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

LAC 14-play, 83-yard drive (7:39) ending in touchdown (Q1, 11:40). LAC's win probability moved from 60.9% to 75.4% — a 14.6 percentage point shift over 14 plays.

LAC took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.061): (4:05) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 86-O.Gadsden for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN [58-J.Greenar Key play (WPA +0.056): (10:53) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 13-K.Allen to LAC 31 for 17 yards (22-H.Smith).

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.

The longest sustained momentum belonged to LAC, who gained 28.2 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

momentum timeline

Why LAC Won

LAC won 37-10 on the strength of 5 key factors: • LAC generated +14.3 EPA (+0.204 per play) vs MIN's -19.9 EPA (-0.424 per play) • LAC passing EPA: +11.6 vs MIN: -12.8 • LAC converted 9/13 third downs (69%) vs MIN's 3/11 (27%).

why winner won

What Went Wrong for MIN

MIN lost 10-37. What went wrong: • MIN failed on 8/11 third downs (27% conversion rate) • MIN generated -19.9 EPA (-0.424 per play) • MIN's defense allowed LAC to score on 7/9 drives (78%).

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: LAC 14-play, 83-yard drive (7:39) ending in touchdown (Q1, 11:40). The moment that decided it: J.Herbert to O.Gadsden, 8-yard TD (Q1, 49:05).

Final score: LAC 37-10.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

LAC Play #609 Drive #2 epa advantage passing advantage third down efficiency third down failures offensive inefficiency defensive leakage

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.