DEN capitalize on LV interception to win 10-7
DEN edged LV 10-7. DEN generated 6 sacks and 8 QB hits vs LV's 2 sacks and 4 QB hits. The defining moment: B.Nix intercepted (Q4, 7:16).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: B.Nix intercepted (Q4, 7:16) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: DEN generated 6 sacks and 8 QB hits vs LV's 2 sacks and 4 QB hits why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: LV failed on 11/15 third downs (27% conversion rate) why loser lost
DEN edged LV 10-7. DEN generated 6 sacks and 8 QB hits vs LV's 2 sacks and 4 QB hits.
The defining moment: B.Nix intercepted (Q4, 7:16).
⚡ The Turning Point
B.Nix intercepted (Q4, 7:16). DEN's win probability dropped from 76.1% to 58.7% — a 17.4 percentage point swing.
Gave LV the ball and ended DEN's threat while leading by a field goal.
🏈 Drive of the Game
DEN 5-play, 53-yard drive (3:17) ending in touchdown (Q2, 05:58). DEN's win probability moved from 40.7% to 55.5% — a 14.7 percentage point shift over 5 plays.
DEN tied the game after trailing. Key play (WPA +0.098): (4:10) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep right to 13-P.Bryant pushed ob at LV 5 for 43 yards (32-L.Johnso Key play (WPA +0.085): (2:45) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short middle to 11-T.Franklin for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
📈 Game Flow
A back-and-forth battle with 3 lead changes kept both teams in contention throughout. The longest sustained momentum belonged to DEN, who gained 22.2 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
The largest single swing was 17.4 percentage points, caused by a interception.
✅ Why DEN Won
DEN won 10-7 on the strength of 4 key factors: • DEN generated 6 sacks and 8 QB hits vs LV's 2 sacks and 4 QB hits • DEN generated -13.9 EPA (-0.252 per play) vs LV's -22.6 EPA (-0.390 per play) • DEN passing EPA: -10.6 vs LV: -17.3.
❌ What Went Wrong for LV
LV lost 7-10. What went wrong: • LV failed on 11/15 third downs (27% conversion rate) • LV generated -22.6 EPA (-0.390 per play) • LV passing attack generated -17.3 EPA.
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: DEN 5-play, 53-yard drive (3:17) ending in touchdown (Q2, 05:58). The moment that decided it: B.Nix intercepted (Q4, 7:16).
Final score: DEN 10-7.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.