NE defeat LAC 16-3
NE defeated LAC 16-3. NE converted 4/10 third downs (40%) vs LAC's 1/10 (10%). The defining moment: D.Maye fumble lost (Q3, 22:12).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: D.Maye fumble lost (Q3, 22:12) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: NE converted 4/10 third downs (40%) vs LAC's 1/10 (10%) why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: LAC failed on 9/10 third downs (10% conversion rate) why loser lost
NE defeated LAC 16-3. NE converted 4/10 third downs (40%) vs LAC's 1/10 (10%).
The defining moment: D.Maye fumble lost (Q3, 22:12).
⚡ The Turning Point
D.Maye fumble lost (Q3, 22:12). NE's win probability dropped from 78.3% to 63.9% — a 14.4 percentage point swing.
Turnover gave LAC possession while leading by a field goal.
🏈 Drive of the Game
NE 7-play, 80-yard drive (4:16) ending in touchdown (Q4, 14:01). NE's win probability moved from 79.8% to 95.9% — a 16.0 percentage point shift over 7 plays.
NE extended their lead with a scoring drive. Key play (WPA +0.069): (9:52) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible.
10-D.Maye pass deep left to 85-H.Henry for 28 yards, TO.
📈 Game Flow
A back-and-forth battle with 5 lead changes kept both teams in contention throughout. The longest sustained momentum belonged to NE, who gained 26.5 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
✅ Why NE Won
NE won 16-3 on the strength of 5 key factors: • NE converted 4/10 third downs (40%) vs LAC's 1/10 (10%) • NE generated -1.0 EPA (-0.016 per play) vs LAC's -15.0 EPA (-0.254 per play) • NE had 5 explosive plays (20+ yards) vs LAC's 1.
❌ What Went Wrong for LAC
LAC lost 3-16. What went wrong: • LAC failed on 9/10 third downs (10% conversion rate) • LAC allowed 6 sacks • LAC generated -15.0 EPA (-0.254 per play).
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: NE 7-play, 80-yard drive (4:16) ending in touchdown (Q4, 14:01). The moment that decided it: D.Maye fumble lost (Q3, 22:12).
Final score: NE 16-3.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.