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NFL 2025 Season Week 18

DEN pull away from LAC 19-3

DEN pulled away from LAC 19-3. DEN passing EPA: -5.8 vs LAC: -30.6.

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: T.Lance intercepted (Q1, 48:50) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: DEN passing EPA: -5.8 vs LAC: -30.6 why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: LAC passing attack generated -30.6 EPA why loser lost
  • ▸
    Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline

DEN pulled away from LAC 19-3. DEN passing EPA: -5.8 vs LAC: -30.6.

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

T.Lance intercepted (Q1, 48:50). LAC's win probability dropped from 32.5% to 18.4% — a 14.1 percentage point swing.

Gave DEN the ball and ended LAC's threat while trailing by a field goal.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

LAC 3-play, 0-yard drive (1:27) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q1, 05:06). LAC's win probability moved from 33.9% to 81.7% — a 15.4 percentage point shift over 3 plays.

LAC's drive ended in a turnover that was returned for a touchdown by the opponent. Key play (WPA -0.141): (3:50) (Shotgun) 5-T.Lance pass short middle intended for 84-K.Lambert-Smith INTERCEPTED by 29-J.McM.

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.

The longest sustained momentum belonged to DEN, who gained 14.9 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

momentum timeline

✅ Why DEN Won

DEN won 19-3 on the strength of 5 key factors: • DEN passing EPA: -5.8 vs LAC: -30.6 • DEN had a +2 turnover margin (2 forced, 0 committed) vs LAC's -2 • DEN generated -10.3 EPA (-0.185 per play) vs LAC's -27.3 EPA (-0.414 per play).

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for LAC

LAC lost 3-19. What went wrong: • LAC passing attack generated -30.6 EPA • LAC generated -27.3 EPA (-0.414 per play) • LAC failed on 13/20 third downs (35% conversion rate).

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: LAC 3-play, 0-yard drive (1:27) ending in a turnover returned for a touchdown (Q1, 05:06). The moment that decided it: T.Lance intercepted (Q1, 48:50).

Final score: DEN 19-3.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

DEN Play #636 Drive #3 passing advantage turnover margin epa advantage passing struggles offensive inefficiency third down failures

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.