JAX survive KC scare, win 31-28 after late interception
JAX edged KC 31-28. The defining moment: P.Mahomes intercepted (Q3, 17:36).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: P.Mahomes intercepted (Q3, 17:36) turning point
- ❌ Key failure: KC committed 1 turnover (1 INT, 0 fumbles lost) why loser lost
- ▸ Game character: volatile contest with 5 lead changes momentum timeline
JAX edged KC 31-28. The defining moment: P.Mahomes intercepted (Q3, 17:36).
⚡ The Turning Point
P.Mahomes intercepted (Q3, 17:36). KC's win probability dropped from 64.0% to 22.0% — a 42.0 percentage point swing.
Gave JAX the ball and ended KC's threat while tied game.
🏈 Drive of the Game
JAX 7-play, 60-yard drive (1:22) ending in touchdown (Q4, 01:45). JAX's win probability moved from 27.5% to 83.9% — a 56.4 percentage point shift over 7 plays.
JAX took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.290): (1:01) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep right to 7-B.Thomas pushed ob at KC 24 for 33 yards (27-C.C Key play (WPA +0.229): (:38) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left intended for 7-B.Thomas INTERCEPTED by 6-B.Cook (27-C.C Key play (WPA +0.161): (:30) 16-T.Lawrence scrambles left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Penalty on KC-27-C.Conner, Defensive H.
📈 Game Flow
This was a volatile contest with 5 lead changes and 5 significant momentum swings. The longest sustained momentum belonged to JAX, who gained 40.8 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
The largest single swing was 42.0 percentage points, caused by a interception.
❌ What Went Wrong for KC
KC lost 28-31. What went wrong: • KC committed 1 turnover (1 INT, 0 fumbles lost).
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: JAX 7-play, 60-yard drive (1:22) ending in touchdown (Q4, 01:45). The moment that decided it: P.Mahomes intercepted (Q3, 17:36).
Final score: JAX 31-28.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.