MIN defeat GB 16-3
MIN defeated GB 16-3. MIN passing EPA: +2.1 vs GB: -13.2. The defining moment: MIN pass (Q2, 30:54).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: MIN pass (Q2, 30:54) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: MIN passing EPA: +2.1 vs GB: -13.2 why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: GB failed on 9/12 third downs (25% conversion rate) why loser lost
- ▸ Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline
MIN defeated GB 16-3. MIN passing EPA: +2.1 vs GB: -13.2.
The defining moment: MIN pass (Q2, 30:54).
⚡ The Turning Point
MIN pass (Q2, 30:54). MIN's win probability jumped from 73.6% to 81.8% — a 8.2 percentage point swing.
A key completion sustained the drive while leading by one score.
🏈 Drive of the Game
MIN 9-play, 59-yard drive (1:24) ending in touchdown (Q2, 01:47). MIN's win probability moved from 76.1% to 87.7% — a 11.6 percentage point shift over 9 plays.
MIN extended their lead with a scoring drive. Key play (WPA +0.082): (:54) (Shotgun) 9-J.McCarthy pass deep right to 1-J.Nailor to GB 21 for 26 yards (38-J.Simpson).
📈 Game Flow
This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.
The longest sustained momentum belonged to MIN, who gained 25.0 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
✅ Why MIN Won
MIN won 16-3 on the strength of 5 key factors: • MIN passing EPA: +2.1 vs GB: -13.2 • MIN generated -2.7 EPA (-0.043 per play) vs GB's -16.1 EPA (-0.329 per play) • MIN scored on 4/9 drives (44%) vs GB's 1/10 (10%).
❌ What Went Wrong for GB
GB lost 3-16. What went wrong: • GB failed on 9/12 third downs (25% conversion rate) • GB generated -16.1 EPA (-0.329 per play) • GB passing attack generated -13.2 EPA.
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: MIN 9-play, 59-yard drive (1:24) ending in touchdown (Q2, 01:47). The moment that decided it: MIN pass (Q2, 30:54).
Final score: MIN 16-3.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.