DEN pull away from DAL 44-24
DEN pulled away from DAL 44-24. DEN had 7 explosive plays (20+ yards) vs DAL's 2.
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: B.Nix intercepted (Q1, 58:44) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: DEN had 7 explosive plays (20+ yards) vs DAL's 2 why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: DAL failed on 7/11 third downs (36% conversion rate) why loser lost
DEN pulled away from DAL 44-24. DEN had 7 explosive plays (20+ yards) vs DAL's 2.
⚡ The Turning Point
B.Nix intercepted (Q1, 58:44). DEN's win probability dropped from 58.0% to 45.2% — a 12.8 percentage point swing.
Gave DAL the ball and ended DEN's threat while tied game.
🏈 Drive of the Game
DEN 5-play, 74-yard drive (2:21) ending in touchdown (Q1, 10:34). DEN's win probability moved from 44.2% to 62.2% — a 18.0 percentage point shift over 5 plays.
DEN took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.119): (8:21) 12-R.Harvey left end for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Key play (WPA +0.076): (9:07) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short middle to 11-T.Franklin to DAL 40 for 26 yards (38-A.Clark).
📈 Game Flow
A steady contest without dramatic momentum swings. The longest sustained momentum belonged to DEN, who gained 31.9 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
✅ Why DEN Won
DEN won 44-24 on the strength of 5 key factors: • DEN had 7 explosive plays (20+ yards) vs DAL's 2 • DEN generated +20.5 EPA (+0.366 per play) vs DAL's +3.9 EPA (+0.057 per play) • DEN converted 5/8 third downs (62%) vs DAL's 4/11 (36%).
❌ What Went Wrong for DAL
DAL lost 24-44. What went wrong: • DAL failed on 7/11 third downs (36% conversion rate) • DAL committed 2 turnovers (2 INTs, 0 fumbles lost) • DAL's defense allowed DEN to score on 7/12 drives (58%).
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: DEN 5-play, 74-yard drive (2:21) ending in touchdown (Q1, 10:34). The moment that decided it: B.Nix intercepted (Q1, 58:44).
Final score: DEN 44-24.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.