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NFL 2025 Season Week 6

PIT pull away from CLE 23-9

PIT pulled away from CLE 23-9. PIT passing EPA: +9.6 vs CLE: -13.9. The defining moment: PIT penalty (Q3, 26:59).

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: PIT penalty (Q3, 26:59) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: PIT passing EPA: +9.6 vs CLE: -13.9 why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: CLE failed on 11/17 third downs (35% conversion rate) why loser lost
  • ▸
    Game character: one-sided — the winner controlled throughout momentum timeline

PIT pulled away from CLE 23-9. PIT passing EPA: +9.6 vs CLE: -13.9.

The defining moment: PIT penalty (Q3, 26:59).

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

PIT penalty (Q3, 26:59). PIT's win probability jumped from 69.0% to 77.0% — a 8.0 percentage point swing.

A penalty changed the situation while leading by one score.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

PIT 10-play, 79-yard drive (6:02) ending in touchdown (Q3, 13:48). PIT's win probability moved from 74.6% to 91.0% — a 16.4 percentage point shift over 10 plays.

PIT extended their lead with a scoring drive. Key play (WPA +0.080): (11:59) 3-C.Waitman punts 46 yards to CLE 27, Center-46-C.Kuntz.

84-G.Larvadain to CLE 35 for 8 yard Key play (WPA +0.067): (10:08) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 4-D.Metcalf to CLE 22 for 25 yards (33-R.Hickman; Key play (WPA +0.065): (7:54) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 83-Co.Heyward for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

This was a one-sided affair. The winning team controlled the game from start to finish.

The longest sustained momentum belonged to PIT, who gained 20.9 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

momentum timeline

✅ Why PIT Won

PIT won 23-9 on the strength of 5 key factors: • PIT passing EPA: +9.6 vs CLE: -13.9 • PIT generated +7.2 EPA (+0.130 per play) vs CLE's -13.9 EPA (-0.185 per play) • PIT generated 6 sacks and 15 QB hits vs CLE's 0 sacks and 3 QB hits.

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for CLE

CLE lost 9-23. What went wrong: • CLE failed on 11/17 third downs (35% conversion rate) • CLE allowed 6 sacks • CLE generated -13.9 EPA (-0.185 per play).

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: PIT 10-play, 79-yard drive (6:02) ending in touchdown (Q3, 13:48). The moment that decided it: PIT penalty (Q3, 26:59).

Final score: PIT 23-9.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

PIT Play #2568 Drive #10 passing advantage epa advantage pressure third down failures pressure allowed offensive inefficiency

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.