CHI defeat PHI 24-15
CHI defeated PHI 24-15. CHI rushing EPA: +9.6 vs PHI: -4.3. The defining moment: C.Williams intercepted (Q3, 21:44).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: C.Williams intercepted (Q3, 21:44) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: CHI rushing EPA: +9.6 vs PHI: -4.3 why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: PHI failed on 7/11 third downs (36% conversion rate) why loser lost
CHI defeated PHI 24-15. CHI rushing EPA: +9.6 vs PHI: -4.3.
The defining moment: C.Williams intercepted (Q3, 21:44).
⚡ The Turning Point
C.Williams intercepted (Q3, 21:44). CHI's win probability dropped from 61.9% to 36.1% — a 25.8 percentage point swing.
Gave PHI the ball and ended CHI's threat while leading by a field goal.
🏈 Drive of the Game
CHI 12-play, 87-yard drive (6:44) ending in touchdown (Q3, 04:33). CHI's win probability moved from 52.9% to 81.7% — a 28.8 percentage point shift over 12 plays.
CHI extended their lead with a scoring drive. Key play (WPA +0.103): (:56) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass short left to 84-C.Loveland ran ob at PHI 30 for 7 yards.
Key play (WPA +0.085): (12:53) 25-K.Monangai up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Key play (WPA -0.061): (1:00) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass incomplete short middle.
📈 Game Flow
A competitive game with 4 significant momentum shifts provided sustained tension. The longest sustained momentum belonged to CHI, who lost 36.6 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
The largest single swing was 25.8 percentage points, caused by a interception.
✅ Why CHI Won
CHI won 24-15 on the strength of 5 key factors: • CHI rushing EPA: +9.6 vs PHI: -4.3 • CHI scored on 3/3 red zone trips (100%) vs PHI's 1/2 (50%) • CHI converted 10/17 third downs (59%) vs PHI's 4/11 (36%).
❌ What Went Wrong for PHI
PHI lost 15-24. What went wrong: • PHI failed on 7/11 third downs (36% conversion rate) • PHI committed 2 turnovers (1 INT, 1 fumble lost) • PHI went three-and-out 4 times, failing to sustain drives.
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: CHI 12-play, 87-yard drive (6:44) ending in touchdown (Q3, 04:33). The moment that decided it: C.Williams intercepted (Q3, 21:44).
Final score: CHI 24-15.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.